NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: MIAPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-2.0 over 6 games)

Andrew Wiggins (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 5), sportsbooks adjusted Andrew Wiggins's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 12.5 to 10.5 (-2.0).13.512.711.911.110.39.512.511.512.512.511.510.5Oct 26DAL @ MIAOct 28MIA @ ATLOct 30IND @ MIANov 2MIA @ LALNov 4MIA @ LACNov 5MIA @ GSW

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 5), sportsbooks adjusted Andrew Wiggins's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 12.5 to 10.5 (-2.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Andrew Wiggins)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
DAL @ MIA12.5 (+100)—12Under
MIA @ ATL11.5 (-115)-1.018Over
IND @ MIA12.5 (-115)+1.012Under
MIA @ LAL12.5 (+102)0.07Under
MIA @ LAC11.5 (-113)-1.03Under
MIA @ GSW10.5 (-128)-1.02Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production6-Game Window

Andrew Wiggins Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted -2.0 vs. -3.5 actual output delta (-1.5 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-1.5Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0
Window Open Line
12.5
Current Posted Line
10.5
Book Cumulative Step
-2.0
Actual Window Avg
9.0
Actual Output Delta
-3.5
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Andrew Wiggins Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output22012Oct 26vs DAL18Oct 28@ ATL12Oct 30vs IND7Nov 2@ LAL3Nov 4@ LAC2Nov 5@ GSW
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 26 · vs DAL12.5—12-0.5
Oct 28 · @ ATL11.5-1.018+6.5
Oct 30 · vs IND12.5+1.012-0.5
Nov 2 · @ LAL12.50.07-5.5
Nov 4 · @ LAC11.5-1.03-8.5
Nov 5 · @ GSW10.5-1.02-8.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Andrew Wiggins Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 active Andrew Wiggins prop write-up tracked awaiting closing line settlement.

Andrew Wiggins CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 30IND @ MIAPointsUnder 13.5 (-121) · DraftKings12.512—Read Write-Up →

Archived Settled Andrew Wiggins Prop Write-Ups

Oct 30 CT · IND @ MIA · PointsFull Write-Up →

Wiggins' modest shot and free-throw volume makes another efficient scoring spike harder to sustain.

Counter-Case: Wiggins can repeat a strong perimeter shooting performance without needing many additional touches. Extra wing minutes or more transition possessions can also lift his scoring opportunity above the usual allocation.

Andrew Wiggins WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Oct 30IND @ MIAPointsUnder 13.512.512—

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136