NHL Player Props vs. close: Ahead: 53 · At close: 12 · Behind: 26
ENES
Posted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)Locked Release · Opens at the Final

Sam Reinhart Shots on Goal Prop (Detroit Red Wings @ Florida Panthers, ): Posted Line 2.5 vs WAGERBIRD Fair Line

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Read the Release on WAGERBIRD →WAGERBIRD Fair Line: —
Posted Prop Line
Locked Until Start
FanDuel
WAGERBIRD Fair Line
—
—
Posted Line Drift
2.5 → 2.5 (0.0)
Last 6 Active Games
Matchup (ET)
DET @ FLA
NHL Props Lane vs. Close
53 / 12 / 26
Ahead / At close / Behind

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Nov 2 to Nov 12), Sam Reinhart's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.3.53.12.72.31.91.52.52.52.52.52.52.5Nov 2DET @ FLANov 4CHI @ FLANov 7FLA @ WASNov 8FLA @ BOSNov 10FLA @ CBJNov 12DET @ FLA

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Nov 2 to Nov 12), Sam Reinhart's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Sam Reinhart)

America/New_York (ET)
Date (ET)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
DET @ FLA2.5 (-102)—3Over
CHI @ FLA2.5 (-112)0.06Over
FLA @ WAS2.5 (-120)0.02Under
FLA @ BOS2.5 (+100)0.03Over
FLA @ CBJ2.5 (+100)0.03Over
DET @ FLA2.5 (+106)0.0——

Canonical pre-game posted line across 5 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Compare Licensed Partner Books: Execute or compare live quotes and prediction markets (Kalshi code WBIRD1).
Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Sam Reinhart Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.9).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.9Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
3.4
Actual Output Delta
+0.9
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Sam Reinhart Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output713Nov 2vs DET6Nov 4vs CHI2Nov 7@ WAS3Nov 8@ BOS3Nov 10@ CBJNov 12vs DET
Game (ET)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Nov 2 · vs DET2.5—3+0.5
Nov 4 · vs CHI2.50.06+3.5
Nov 7 · @ WAS2.50.02-0.5
Nov 8 · @ BOS2.50.03+0.5
Nov 10 · @ CBJ2.50.03+0.5
Nov 12 · vs DET2.50.0——
WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Balanced AllocationDET @ FLA · Shots on Goal

DET @ FLA · Florida Panthers WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) ()

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across Florida Panthers's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

FLA Rotation Mode: Balanced Allocation6 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Holding SteadyBalanced Core-6 Scoring Allocation: Implied Team Total Pressure Neutral

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+16.9 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 20.4 vs. 3.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total
Florida Panthers Core-6 Prop Sum 16.0 vs Implied Team Total 20.4 vs Posted Team Total 3.5Core-6 Prop Sum16.0Implied Team Total20.4Posted Team Total3.5
Core-6 SumCore-6 ShareImplied TotalPosted TotalReconciliation Gap
16.078.5%20.43.5 (-110)+16.9
Core-6 PlayerTonight LineTeam Scoring Share %Tonight's Implied Prop Share %6-Game Line Drift6G TrendOutcome Tag
#1
Brady Tkachuk
FLA · Prev 3.5 (0.0)
3.518.8%100.0%(+81.2% vs Hist)+1.0Brady Tkachuk 6-game posted line trend from 2.5 to 3.5Steady Share
#2
Sam Reinhart
FLA · Prev 2.5 (0.0)
2.514.1%71.4%(+57.3% vs Hist)0.0Sam Reinhart 6-game posted line trend from 2.5 to 2.5Steady Share
#3
Carter Verhaeghe
FLA · Prev 2.5 (0.0)
2.511.4%71.4%(+60.0% vs Hist)0.0Carter Verhaeghe 6-game posted line trend from 2.5 to 2.5Steady Share
#4
Matthew Tkachuk
FLA · Prev 2.5 (0.0)
2.59.4%71.4%(+62.0% vs Hist)0.0Matthew Tkachuk 6-game posted line trend from 2.5 to 2.5Steady Share
#5
Anton Lundell
FLA · Prev 2.5 (0.0)
2.513.4%71.4%(+58.0% vs Hist)0.0Anton Lundell 6-game posted line trend from 2.5 to 2.5Steady Share
#6
Sam Bennett
FLA · Prev 2.5 (0.0)
2.511.4%71.4%(+60.0% vs Hist)0.0Sam Bennett 6-game posted line trend from 2.5 to 2.5Steady Share
Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.
Verified Player Write-Up Receipts6 Tracked Write-Ups

Sam Reinhart Prop Write-Up Receipts: Results & Closing-Line Timing

Closing-line timing across 5 settled Sam Reinhart prop write-ups: 4 Ahead of close / 0 At the close / 1 Behind close. Each write-up is settled on the final stat line.

Sam Reinhart vs. close
4 Ahead · 0 At close · 1 Behind
5 Settled Receipts
Date (ET)MatchupMarketResultRelease QuoteClosing LineActualvs. CloseWrite-Up
Nov 12DET @ FLAShots on Goal—2.5 (+100) · Fanatics2.5——Read Write-Up →
Nov 10FLA @ CBJShots on GoalWONOver 2.5 (-110) · FanDuel2.53BehindRead Write-Up →
Nov 4CHI @ FLAShots on GoalWONOver 2.5 (-113) · FanDuel2.56AheadRead Write-Up →
Oct 25FLA @ CHIShots on GoalLOSTOver 2.5 (+115) · Fanatics2.52AheadRead Write-Up →
Oct 17SEA @ FLAShots on GoalWONOver 2.5 (+105) · Fanatics2.53AheadRead Write-Up →
Oct 15VAN @ FLAShots on GoalWONOver 2.5 (+115) · Fanatics2.55AheadRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Sam Reinhart Prop Write-Ups

Nov 10 ET · FLA @ CBJ · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Reinhart's established shot share and lead power-play role support three shots without requiring a high-scoring game.

Counter-Case: Columbus can pressure the middle of the power play and leave Reinhart distributing to the wings. If Florida establishes an early lead, more defensive shifts and fewer late attacking possessions can leave him short of three shots.

Nov 4 ET · CHI @ FLA · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Sam Reinhart’s regular workload and first-unit power-play access provide separate routes to three shots.

Counter-Case: Chicago can force Reinhart into distributing the puck while his linemates take the finishing attempts. An early Florida lead can reduce repeat attacking possessions and leave him short of three shots.

Oct 25 ET · FLA @ CHI · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Reinhart's recent shooting rate, substantial ice time and continued PP1 access support three shots without requiring a high-scoring game.

Counter-Case: The lead power-play group can direct its possessions toward other finishers instead of Reinhart's release. Quick finishes by his even-strength linemates or a low-penalty game can leave him short of three shots.

Oct 17 ET · SEA @ FLA · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Reinhart's current shooting volume and first-unit deployment put three shots within reach against Seattle's defense.

Counter-Case: Reinhart can convert a small number of attempts and never reach three shots. Shared power-play possessions can instead end with releases from Jones or either Tkachuk.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Timing (53 Ahead, 12 At close, 26 Behind)

Every release is settled on the final stat line. Closing-line timing compares each timestamped release line and price with the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number; it measures entry timing, not the result (through Nov 11 ET).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowAhead of closeAt the closeBehind close
Season to date (from Sep 23 ET)531226
Last 30 days (from Oct 13 ET)441023