NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: FLAPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Sam Reinhart (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost
Sam Reinhart Releases: 4 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 7), Sam Reinhart's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.3.53.12.72.31.91.52.52.52.52.52.52.5Oct 25FLA @ CHIOct 27FLA @ WPGOct 30WPG @ FLANov 2DET @ FLANov 4CHI @ FLANov 7FLA @ WAS

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 7), Sam Reinhart's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Sam Reinhart)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
FLA @ CHI2.5 (+106)—2Under
FLA @ WPG2.5 (+106)0.02Under
WPG @ FLA2.5 (-110)0.04Over
DET @ FLA2.5 (-102)0.03Over
CHI @ FLA2.5 (-112)0.06Over
FLA @ WAS2.5 (-120)0.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Sam Reinhart Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.9).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.9Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
3.4
Actual Output Delta
+0.9
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Sam Reinhart Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output712Oct 25@ CHI2Oct 27@ WPG4Oct 30vs WPG3Nov 2vs DET6Nov 4vs CHINov 7@ WAS
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 25 · @ CHI2.5—2-0.5
Oct 27 · @ WPG2.50.02-0.5
Oct 30 · vs WPG2.50.04+1.5
Nov 2 · vs DET2.50.03+0.5
Nov 4 · vs CHI2.50.06+3.5
Nov 7 · @ WAS2.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault4 Tracked Write-Ups

Sam Reinhart Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (4 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

4 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 4 settled Sam Reinhart prop write-ups.

Sam Reinhart CLV Counts
4 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
4 Settled CLV Receipts
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Nov 4CHI @ FLAShots on GoalOver 2.5 (-113) · FanDuel2.56BeatRead Write-Up →
Oct 25FLA @ CHIShots on GoalOver 2.5 (+115) · Fanatics2.52BeatRead Write-Up →
Oct 17SEA @ FLAShots on GoalOver 2.5 (+105) · Fanatics2.53BeatRead Write-Up →
Oct 15VAN @ FLAShots on GoalOver 2.5 (+115) · Fanatics2.55BeatRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Sam Reinhart Prop Write-Ups

Nov 4 CT · CHI @ FLA · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Sam Reinhart’s regular workload and first-unit power-play access provide separate routes to three shots.

Counter-Case: Chicago can force Reinhart into distributing the puck while his linemates take the finishing attempts. An early Florida lead can reduce repeat attacking possessions and leave him short of three shots.

Oct 25 CT · FLA @ CHI · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Reinhart's recent shooting rate, substantial ice time and continued PP1 access support three shots without requiring a high-scoring game.

Counter-Case: The lead power-play group can direct its possessions toward other finishers instead of Reinhart's release. Quick finishes by his even-strength linemates or a low-penalty game can leave him short of three shots.

Oct 17 CT · SEA @ FLA · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Reinhart's current shooting volume and first-unit deployment put three shots within reach against Seattle's defense.

Counter-Case: Reinhart can convert a small number of attempts and never reach three shots. Shared power-play possessions can instead end with releases from Jones or either Tkachuk.

Oct 15 CT · VAN @ FLA · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Reinhart's substantial ice time and first-power-play exposure support a three-shot game.

Counter-Case: Reinhart can score on an early chance and still finish with fewer than three shots. If Vancouver's goalie controls rebounds and Verhaeghe takes more of the line's attempts, the third shot may never arrive.

Sam Reinhart WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Nov 4CHI @ FLAShots on GoalOver 2.52.56Beat
Oct 25FLA @ CHIShots on GoalOver 2.52.52Beat
Oct 17SEA @ FLAShots on GoalOver 2.52.53Beat
Oct 15VAN @ FLAShots on GoalOver 2.52.55Beat

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921