NHL Player Props vs. close: Ahead: 53 · At close: 12 · Behind: 26
ENES
Posted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)Locked Release · Opens at the Final

Lucas Raymond Shots on Goal Prop (Detroit Red Wings @ Florida Panthers, ): Posted Line 2.5 vs WAGERBIRD Fair Line

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Read the Release on WAGERBIRD →WAGERBIRD Fair Line: —
Posted Prop Line
Locked Until Start
Fanatics
WAGERBIRD Fair Line
—
—
Posted Line Drift
2.5 → 2.5 (0.0)
Last 6 Active Games
Matchup (ET)
DET @ FLA
NHL Props Lane vs. Close
53 / 12 / 26
Ahead / At close / Behind

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Nov 2 to Nov 12), Lucas Raymond's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.3.53.12.72.31.91.52.52.52.52.52.52.5Nov 2DET @ FLANov 3DET @ TBNov 5VEG @ DETNov 7DET @ COLNov 10DET @ STLNov 12DET @ FLA

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Nov 2 to Nov 12), Lucas Raymond's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Lucas Raymond)

America/New_York (ET)
Date (ET)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
DET @ FLA2.5 (+121)—2Under
DET @ TB2.5 (+114)0.05Over
VEG @ DET2.5 (+110)0.03Over
DET @ COL2.5 (+102)0.02Under
DET @ STL2.5 (+106)0.02Under
DET @ FLA2.5 (+115)0.0——

Canonical pre-game posted line across 5 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Compare Licensed Partner Books: Execute or compare live quotes and prediction markets (Kalshi code WBIRD1).
Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Lucas Raymond Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.3).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.3Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
2.8
Actual Output Delta
+0.3
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Lucas Raymond Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output612Nov 2@ FLA5Nov 3@ TB3Nov 5vs VEG2Nov 7@ COL2Nov 10@ STLNov 12@ FLA
Game (ET)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Nov 2 · @ FLA2.5—2-0.5
Nov 3 · @ TB2.50.05+2.5
Nov 5 · vs VEG2.50.03+0.5
Nov 7 · @ COL2.50.02-0.5
Nov 10 · @ STL2.50.02-0.5
Nov 12 · @ FLA2.50.0——
WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Balanced AllocationDET @ FLA · Shots on Goal

DET @ FLA · Detroit Red Wings WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) ()

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across Detroit Red Wings's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

DET Rotation Mode: Balanced Allocation6 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Holding SteadyBalanced Core-6 Scoring Allocation: Implied Team Total Pressure Neutral

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+12.6 Shots Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 15.1 vs. 2.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total
Detroit Red Wings Core-6 Prop Sum 13.0 vs Implied Team Total 15.1 vs Posted Team Total 2.5Core-6 Prop Sum13.0Implied Team Total15.1Posted Team Total2.5
Core-6 SumCore-6 ShareImplied TotalPosted TotalReconciliation Gap
13.086.0%15.12.5 (-106)+12.6
Core-6 PlayerTonight LineTeam Scoring Share %Tonight's Implied Prop Share %6-Game Line Drift6G TrendOutcome Tag
#1
Alex DeBrincat
DET · Prev 3.5 (0.0)
3.519.0%140.0%(+121.0% vs Hist)0.0Alex DeBrincat 6-game posted line trend from 3.5 to 3.5Steady Share
#2
Lucas Raymond
DET · Prev 2.5 (0.0)
2.518.0%100.0%(+82.0% vs Hist)0.0Lucas Raymond 6-game posted line trend from 2.5 to 2.5Steady Share
#3
Viktor Arvidsson
DET · Prev 2.5 (0.0)
2.518.0%100.0%(+82.0% vs Hist)0.0Viktor Arvidsson 6-game posted line trend from 2.5 to 2.5Steady Share
#4
Moritz Seider
DET · Prev 1.5 (0.0)
1.512.0%60.0%(+48.0% vs Hist)-1.0Moritz Seider 6-game posted line trend from 2.5 to 1.5Steady Share
#5
Justin Faulk
DET · Prev 1.5 (0.0)
1.57.0%60.0%(+53.0% vs Hist)0.0Justin Faulk 6-game posted line trend from 1.5 to 1.5Steady Share
#6
Emmitt Finnie
DET · Prev 1.5 (0.0)
1.512.0%60.0%(+48.0% vs Hist)0.0Emmitt Finnie 6-game posted line trend from 1.5 to 1.5Steady Share
Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.
Verified Player Write-Up Receipts2 Tracked Write-Ups

Lucas Raymond Prop Write-Up Receipts: Results & Closing-Line Timing

Closing-line timing across 1 settled Lucas Raymond prop write-up: 0 Ahead of close / 0 At the close / 1 Behind close. Each write-up is settled on the final stat line.

Lucas Raymond vs. close
0 Ahead · 0 At close · 1 Behind
1 Settled Receipt
Date (ET)MatchupMarketResultRelease QuoteClosing LineActualvs. CloseWrite-Up
Nov 12DET @ FLAShots on Goal—2.5 (+106) · FanDuel2.5——Read Write-Up →
Nov 10DET @ STLShots on GoalLOSTOver 2.5 (-114) · FanDuel2.52BehindRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Lucas Raymond Prop Write-Ups

Nov 10 ET · DET @ STL · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Raymond's established shooting share and access to the first power-play unit support a three-shot outcome without requiring Detroit to score heavily.

Counter-Case: St. Louis can keep Raymond's line defending and interrupt controlled entries before he reaches shooting positions. Power-play possessions can also turn him into a distributor while teammates take the attempts, leaving him below three shots.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Timing (53 Ahead, 12 At close, 26 Behind)

Every release is settled on the final stat line. Closing-line timing compares each timestamped release line and price with the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number; it measures entry timing, not the result (through Nov 11 ET).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowAhead of closeAt the closeBehind close
Season to date (from Sep 23 ET)531226
Last 30 days (from Oct 13 ET)441023