NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: FLAPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Carter Verhaeghe (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost
Carter Verhaeghe Releases: 0 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 7), Carter Verhaeghe's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.3.53.12.72.31.91.52.52.52.52.52.52.5Oct 25FLA @ CHIOct 27FLA @ WPGOct 30WPG @ FLANov 2DET @ FLANov 4CHI @ FLANov 7FLA @ WAS

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 7), Carter Verhaeghe's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Carter Verhaeghe)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
FLA @ CHI2.5 (+114)—4Over
FLA @ WPG2.5 (+135)0.03Over
WPG @ FLA2.5 (+100)0.03Over
DET @ FLA2.5 (+115)0.02Under
CHI @ FLA2.5 (-120)0.04Over
FLA @ WAS2.5 (-102)0.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Carter Verhaeghe Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.7).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.7Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
3.2
Actual Output Delta
+0.7
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Carter Verhaeghe Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output514Oct 25@ CHI3Oct 27@ WPG3Oct 30vs WPG2Nov 2vs DET4Nov 4vs CHINov 7@ WAS
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 25 · @ CHI2.5—4+1.5
Oct 27 · @ WPG2.50.03+0.5
Oct 30 · vs WPG2.50.03+0.5
Nov 2 · vs DET2.50.02-0.5
Nov 4 · vs CHI2.50.04+1.5
Nov 7 · @ WAS2.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Carter Verhaeghe Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 1 Tied, 0 Lost)

0 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Carter Verhaeghe prop write-up.

Carter Verhaeghe CLV Counts
0 Beat · 1 Tied · 0 Lost
1 Settled CLV Receipt
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 21FLA @ OTTShots on GoalUnder 2.5 (-140) · DraftKings2.51TiedRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Carter Verhaeghe Prop Write-Ups

Oct 21 CT · FLA @ OTT · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Verhaeghe's recent goals have come from limited shot volume, leaving a three-shot requirement above the central shooting forecast.

Counter-Case: Verhaeghe can collect several attempts during one first-unit power play or rebound sequence. If Florida spends the closing stretch chasing the game, additional attacking shifts could carry him to a third shot.

Carter Verhaeghe WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Oct 21FLA @ OTTShots on GoalUnder 2.52.51Tied

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921