Carter Verhaeghe (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 7), Carter Verhaeghe's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.
6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Carter Verhaeghe)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA @ CHI | 2.5 (+114) | — | 4 | Over | |
| FLA @ WPG | 2.5 (+135) | 0.0 | 3 | Over | |
| WPG @ FLA | 2.5 (+100) | 0.0 | 3 | Over | |
| DET @ FLA | 2.5 (+115) | 0.0 | 2 | Under | |
| CHI @ FLA | 2.5 (-120) | 0.0 | 4 | Over | |
| FLA @ WAS | 2.5 (-102) | 0.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Carter Verhaeghe Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.7).
- Window Open Line
- 2.5
- Current Posted Line
- 2.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- 0.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 3.2
- Actual Output Delta
- +0.7
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 · @ CHI | 2.5 | — | 4 | +1.5 |
| Oct 27 · @ WPG | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs WPG | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs DET | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs CHI | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Nov 7 · @ WAS | 2.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
Carter Verhaeghe Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 1 Tied, 0 Lost)
0 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Carter Verhaeghe prop write-up.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | FLA @ OTT | Shots on Goal | Under 2.5 (-140) · DraftKings | 2.5 | 1 | Tied | Read Write-Up → |
Archived Settled Carter Verhaeghe Prop Write-Ups
Verhaeghe's recent goals have come from limited shot volume, leaving a three-shot requirement above the central shooting forecast.
Counter-Case: Verhaeghe can collect several attempts during one first-unit power play or rebound sequence. If Florida spends the closing stretch chasing the game, additional attacking shifts could carry him to a third shot.
Carter Verhaeghe WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | FLA @ OTT | Shots on Goal | Under 2.5 | 2.5 | 1 | Tied |
NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 50 | 10 | 21 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 48 | 9 | 21 |