Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons 1st Half Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 22 books
- 23.5 (18 consensus books · 22 tracked)
- Market Move
- 22.5 to 23.5 (1.0 pt toward Over)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 17 · At close: 0 · Behind: 7 (24 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- KC 61.9% · ATL 38.1%
- Consensus Spread
- ATL +3.5
- Consensus Total
- 47.5
- Market-Implied Score
- KC 25.5 – ATL 22
Market Brief: KC @ ATL 1st Half Total
Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons 1st Half Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 23.5 +107 / Under 23.5 -107 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (22 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:04 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 22.5 -122 at DraftKings; Under 23.5 -109 at ProphetX.
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from 22.5 to 23.5 toward Over (1.0 pt) across 22 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
What is the KC @ ATL 1st half total consensus line and best price per side?
Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons 1st Half Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 23.5 +107 / Under 23.5 -107 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (22 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:04 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 22.5 -122 at DraftKings; Under 23.5 -109 at ProphetX.
How has the KC @ ATL 1st half total moved from open to current?
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from 22.5 to 23.5 toward Over (1.0 pt) across 22 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for KC @ ATL 1st half total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
Why is the KC @ ATL 1st Half Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 6 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
KC @ ATL 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 22 sportsbooks, consensus 23.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: KC @ ATL 1st Half Total
The Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons first-half total opened at 22.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 23.5 across 22 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:04 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 5:15 PM ET, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons first-half total.
Across the 22 sportsbooks currently quoting the Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 18-book consensus prices Over at 23.5 +107 (48.4% vig-free probability) and Under at 23.5 -107 (51.6% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 22.5 -122 at DraftKings; Under 23.5 -109 at ProphetX.
In the NFL first-half game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 17 · At the close: 0 · Behind close: 7 (24 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL First-Half Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 70.8% of moved lines ahead of close (17 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 7 Behind close) · Sept 24–Nov 9
Release Record — NFL first-half game totals, since Sept 24 (Sept 24–Nov 9): 17-7, +31.3u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 71% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons (1st Half Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-at-atlanta-falcons-1h-total-2026-11-15-35145" title="Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-at-atlanta-falcons-1h-total-2026-11-15-35145">KC @ ATL 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>