Penix-led passing rebound
Penix has thrown nine touchdown passes against one interception since becoming Atlanta’s starter, and the Falcons are 3-2 in his starts. He threw three touchdown passes in the win over San Francisco.
Written Sun Nov 1, before the Buccaneers game.
Atlanta reaches Tampa Bay at 3-4 after beating San Francisco 29-20. Its home record is 1-3, compared with 2-1 on the road. The season has included road wins at Green Bay and New Orleans, alongside home defeats against Carolina, Baltimore and Chicago.
Atlanta is 3-4, with a 1-3 home record and 2-1 on the road. The Falcons have scored 45 points in a road win at New Orleans and 29 in their latest win over San Francisco. They have also lost three home games, including a 3-34 result against Carolina. Since Michael Penix Jr. took over at quarterback, he has thrown nine touchdowns and one interception, and Atlanta is 3-2 in his starts.
Penix has thrown nine touchdown passes against one interception since becoming Atlanta’s starter, and the Falcons are 3-2 in his starts. He threw three touchdown passes in the win over San Francisco.
Atlanta is without Brian Robinson Jr., Divine Deablo and Billy Bowman Jr. Deablo’s absence puts Kendal Daniels and Harold Perkins Jr. in line for linebacker roles, while the team elevated Khalil Herbert and Brian Asamoah.
Bijan Robinson leads the NFL with 704 rushing yards. Khalil Herbert is again elevated to back him up while Brian Robinson Jr. is out.
Kevin Stefanski leads a staff that includes offensive coordinator Tommy Rees and defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbrich. Atlanta also signed Za’Darius Smith, traded for offensive tackle Wanya Morris and extended Matthew Bergeron through 2030.
Prices as of : the Falcons are +3 at five sportsbooks and the total is 52.
WagerBird earns a commission when you sign up through a sportsbook link on this page. That does not change the prices shown or which one is marked best. Offers are for new customers in states where each sportsbook is licensed; terms apply at the sportsbook.
Falcons to win costs 42¢ on Kalshi, against +139 at the best sportsbook (Caesars). A Yes price in cents is the market’s chance in percent; Kalshi’s trading fee is extra.
| Market | Kalshi | Polymarket | Best sportsbook |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons to win | 42¢42% chance | 41¢41% chance | +139Caesars |
| Bengals to win | 63¢63% chance | 62¢62% chance | −162FanDuel |
| Sportsbook | Spread | Money line | Total | Sign up | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | Bengals | Falcons | Bengals | Over | Under | ||
| FanDuel | +3−110 | −3−110 | +136 | −162 | – | – | Sign up |
| DraftKingsClaim the DraftKings new-customer offer | +3−105 | −3−115 | +136 | −162 | – | – | Sign up |
| BetMGMNJ MI PA WV: Bet $10 Get $150. All other states: $1500 Back in Bonus Bets if You Don't Win Code WAGERBIRD1 | +3−105 | −3−115 | +138 | −165 | o52−110 | – | Sign up |
| CaesarsBet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Wagers Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost Code WBIRD1DYW | +3−103 | −3−117 | +139 | −164 | – | – | Sign up |
| FanaticsNew Customers Get Up To $1,000 Matched In FanCash | +3−110 | −3−110 | +135 | −164 | – | – | Sign up |
BestGreen is the best price at the same line among these five sportsbooks. Prices as of 2:00 AM CT; they move until the start, and each sportsbook shows its live price before you confirm.
21+ · Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
| Date | Game | Result | Spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 11/1 | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 0-16 | +1.5 | Missed |
| Sun 10/25 | vs San Francisco 49ers | W 29-20 | +2.5 | Covered |
| Sun 10/18 | vs Chicago Bears | L 23-31 | +1.5 | Missed |
| Sun 10/11 | vs Baltimore Ravens | L 23-30 | −3.5 | Missed |
| Mon 10/5 | at New Orleans Saints | W 45-24 | +1 | Covered |
Spread is the Falcons’ closing number. ATS is against the spread at the closing number.
Injury report as of : 10 Falcons and 3 Bengals on the report.
Written Sun Nov 1, before the Buccaneers game.
+2 more · full report in the Terminal
Projected Falcons starters: Michael Penix Jr. (QB) · Bijan Robinson (RB) · Drake London (WR) · Jahan Dotson (WR) · Zachariah Branch (WR) · Kyle Pitts Sr. (TE) · Jake Matthews (LT) · Matthew Bergeron (LG) · Ryan Neuzil (C) · Chris Lindstrom (RG) · Jawaan Taylor (RT) · Cameron Thomas (DE) · Maason Smith (DL) · LaCale London (DL) · Brandon Dorlus (DE) · Kendal Daniels (ILB) · Harold Perkins Jr. (ILB) · A.J. Terrell Jr. (CB) · Mike Hughes (CB) · Jessie Bates III (S) · Xavier Watts (S) · Avieon Terrell (NB)
Lines as of : the Falcons spread is +3 (opened +3.5); the total is 52 (opened 50.5).
Open, then now.
The schedule posts when the league releases it.
Written Sun Nov 1, before the Buccaneers game.
Atlanta is 3-4, with a 1-3 home record and 2-1 on the road. The Falcons have scored 45 points in a road win at New Orleans and 29 in their latest win over San Francisco. They have also lost three home games, including a 3-34 result against Carolina. Since Michael Penix Jr. took over at quarterback, he has thrown nine touchdowns and one interception, and Atlanta is 3-2 in his starts.
Atlanta reaches Tampa Bay at 3-4 after beating San Francisco 29-20. Its home record is 1-3, compared with 2-1 on the road. The season has included road wins at Green Bay and New Orleans, alongside home defeats against Carolina, Baltimore and Chicago.
Michael Penix Jr. has changed the quarterback picture since missing the opening games. Atlanta is 3-2 in his starts, and he has thrown nine touchdown passes against one interception. Against San Francisco, he completed 25 of 34 passes for 213 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. Atlanta also scored 13 points from four takeaways. Bijan Robinson leads the league with 704 rushing yards, while Kyle Pitts has caught four touchdowns over the past three games.
Availability remains unsettled around that core. Brian Robinson Jr. is out with a hamstring injury, and Khalil Herbert has been elevated again. Divine Deablo and Billy Bowman Jr. were also ruled out. Kendal Daniels handled defensive communication in Deablo’s absence against San Francisco. Olamide Zaccheaus, Avieon Terrell, Samson Ebukam and Charles Snowden remain questionable.
Kevin Stefanski leads the staff, with Tommy Rees coordinating the offense and Jeff Ulbrich the defense. A.J. Terrell has returned from injured reserve, while Drake Jackson joined the active roster after Michael Jerrell went on injured reserve. Today’s division visit comes against a 2-5 Tampa Bay team. Baker Mayfield has no game designation, but Emeka Egbuka is out.
Written by the WagerBird research team from our own results, line captures and graded picks. Updated . How we grade →
Picks with Signal strength, research briefs, line moves and Kalshi prices for the whole slate.
Open the Terminal →CoursesLearn the methodHow we find value, size a position and read a line move, taught step by step.
See the courses →LearnGuidesHow odds, closing line value and prediction-market prices work, in plain English.
Start learning →Yes. Our Falcons pick for Bengals at Falcons was released before kickoff at Signal strength 73. Unlock it in the Terminal.
The Atlanta Falcons are 3-4: 1-3 at home and 2-1 on the road.
The Falcons list Brian Robinson Jr. (Out), Billy Bowman Jr. (Out), Divine Deablo (Out), Samson Ebukam (Questionable), Charles Snowden (Questionable), Avieon Terrell (Questionable), Olamide Zaccheaus (Questionable), Beaux Collins (Out), Cameron Williams (Out), Kendal Daniels (Available), LaCale London (Available), Jawaan Taylor (Available), Chris Lindstrom (Day-to-day), C.J. Henderson (Available), A.J. Terrell (Available), Cameron Thomas (Available).