Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 43 books
- BUF -7.5 (18 consensus books · 43 tracked)
- Market Move
- NYJ +7.5 to +8 (0.5 pts toward BUF)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 11 · At close: 3 · Behind: 9 (23 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- BUF 78.2% · NYJ 21.8%
- Consensus Spread
- NYJ +7.5
- Consensus Total
- 50.5
- Market-Implied Score
- BUF 29 – NYJ 21.5
Market Brief: BUF @ NYJ Spread
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets Spread: vig-free consensus stands at BUF -7.5 -102 / NYJ +7.5 +102 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:59 PM ET). Best price per side: BUF -7.5 -106 at ProphetX; NYJ +8.5 -112 at DraftKings.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 10:45 AM ET), the line moved from BUF -7.5 to BUF -8 (0.5 pts) across 43 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
What is the BUF @ NYJ spread consensus line and best price per side?
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets Spread: vig-free consensus stands at BUF -7.5 -102 / NYJ +7.5 +102 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:59 PM ET). Best price per side: BUF -7.5 -106 at ProphetX; NYJ +8.5 -112 at DraftKings.
How has the BUF @ NYJ spread moved from open to current?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 10:45 AM ET), the line moved from BUF -7.5 to BUF -8 (0.5 pts) across 43 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for BUF @ NYJ spread?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
Why is the BUF @ NYJ spread moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward NYJ across 11 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
BUF @ NYJ Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 43 sportsbooks, consensus BUF -7.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: BUF @ NYJ Spread
The Buffalo Bills at New York Jets spread opened at NYJ +7.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 10:45 AM ET) and currently sits at NYJ +8 across 43 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward BUF. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:59 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 2:44 PM ET, 11 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward NYJ by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Buffalo Bills at New York Jets spread.
Across the 43 sportsbooks currently quoting the Buffalo Bills at New York Jets spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 18-book consensus prices BUF at -7.5 -102 (50.6% vig-free probability) and NYJ at +7.5 +102 (49.4% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: BUF -7.5 -106 at ProphetX; NYJ +8.5 -112 at DraftKings.
In the NFL spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 11 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 9 (23 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 55.0% of moved lines ahead of close (11 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 9 Behind close) · Oct 4–Nov 8
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 55% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-new-york-jets-spread-2026-11-15-35390" title="Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-new-york-jets-spread-2026-11-15-35390">BUF @ NYJ Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>