Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 17 books
- BUF -207 (17 consensus books · 17 tracked)
- Market Move
- NYJ 33.9% to 34.5% (0.6% implied probability toward NYJ)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- BUF 78.2% · NYJ 21.8%
- Consensus Spread
- NYJ +7.5
- Consensus Total
- 50.5
- Market-Implied Score
- BUF 29 – NYJ 21.5
Market Brief: BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Moneyline
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at BUF -207 / NYJ +207 across 17 consensus sportsbooks (17 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: BUF -225 at BetMGM; NYJ +225 at FanDuel.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 10:45 AM ET), implied probability moved from 33.9% to 34.5% toward NYJ (0.6% implied probability) across 17 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
What is the BUF @ NYJ 1st quarter moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at BUF -207 / NYJ +207 across 17 consensus sportsbooks (17 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: BUF -225 at BetMGM; NYJ +225 at FanDuel.
How has the BUF @ NYJ 1st quarter moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 10:45 AM ET), implied probability moved from 33.9% to 34.5% toward NYJ (0.6% implied probability) across 17 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for BUF @ NYJ 1st quarter moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
Why is the BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?
- Best available partner price toward NYJ: FanDuel (+225).
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 17 sportsbooks, consensus BUF -207. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Moneyline
The Buffalo Bills at New York Jets first-quarter moneyline opened at 33.9% implied probability for NYJ on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 10:45 AM ET) and currently sits at 34.5% implied probability for NYJ across 17 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.6% implied probability, with net market movement toward NYJ. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET.
As of Wed, Nov 11, 1:00 PM ET, WAGERBIRD Fair Line and vig-free consensus price NYJ across 7 tracked sportsbooks, while the best available partner quote stands at FanDuel (+225).
Across the 17 sportsbooks currently quoting the Buffalo Bills at New York Jets first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.9% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 17-book consensus prices BUF at -207 (67.5% vig-free probability) and NYJ at +207 (32.5% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: BUF -225 at BetMGM; NYJ +225 at FanDuel.
Every NFL first-quarter moneylines release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also reports Closing Line Value (CLV): Ahead of close, At the close, or Behind close against the release sportsbook's closing number. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-new-york-jets-1q-moneyline-2026-11-15-35390" title="Buffalo Bills at New York Jets 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-new-york-jets-1q-moneyline-2026-11-15-35390">BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>