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NFL · 1st Quarter MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: NYJ (+0.6% implied prob)

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 17 books
BUF -207 (17 consensus books · 17 tracked)
Market Move
NYJ 33.9% to 34.5% (0.6% implied probability toward NYJ)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
BUF 78.2% · NYJ 21.8%
Consensus Spread
NYJ +7.5
Consensus Total
50.5
Market-Implied Score
BUF 29 – NYJ 21.5

Market Brief: BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Moneyline

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at BUF -207 / NYJ +207 across 17 consensus sportsbooks (17 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: BUF -225 at BetMGM; NYJ +225 at FanDuel.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 10:45 AM ET), implied probability moved from 33.9% to 34.5% toward NYJ (0.6% implied probability) across 17 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

What is the BUF @ NYJ 1st quarter moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at BUF -207 / NYJ +207 across 17 consensus sportsbooks (17 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: BUF -225 at BetMGM; NYJ +225 at FanDuel.

How has the BUF @ NYJ 1st quarter moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 10:45 AM ET), implied probability moved from 33.9% to 34.5% toward NYJ (0.6% implied probability) across 17 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for BUF @ NYJ 1st quarter moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

Why is the BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

  • Best available partner price toward NYJ: FanDuel (+225).

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

BUF
Vig-free consensus -207 (67.5% across 17 books)
Best price: -225 at BetMGM
NYJ
Vig-free consensus +207 (32.5% across 17 books)
Best price: +225 at FanDuel

BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookBUFNYJExecution
BetMGM-225+180BetMGM
Caesars-235+190Caesars
DraftKings-238+195DraftKings
FanDuel-290+225FanDuel
Fanatics-245+180Fanatics

Full market: 17 sportsbooks, consensus BUF -207. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Moneyline

The Buffalo Bills at New York Jets first-quarter moneyline opened at 33.9% implied probability for NYJ on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 10:45 AM ET) and currently sits at 34.5% implied probability for NYJ across 17 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.6% implied probability, with net market movement toward NYJ. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET.

As of Wed, Nov 11, 1:00 PM ET, WAGERBIRD Fair Line and vig-free consensus price NYJ across 7 tracked sportsbooks, while the best available partner quote stands at FanDuel (+225).

Across the 17 sportsbooks currently quoting the Buffalo Bills at New York Jets first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.9% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 17-book consensus prices BUF at -207 (67.5% vig-free probability) and NYJ at +207 (32.5% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: BUF -225 at BetMGM; NYJ +225 at FanDuel.

Every NFL first-quarter moneylines release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also reports Closing Line Value (CLV): Ahead of close, At the close, or Behind close against the release sportsbook's closing number. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-new-york-jets-1q-moneyline-2026-11-15-35390" title="Buffalo Bills at New York Jets 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-new-york-jets-1q-moneyline-2026-11-15-35390">BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>