Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 1st Quarter Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 19 books
- BUF -2.5 (15 consensus books · 19 tracked)
- Market Move
- NYJ +2.5 to +2.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- BUF 78.2% · NYJ 21.8%
- Consensus Spread
- NYJ +7.5
- Consensus Total
- 50.5
- Market-Implied Score
- BUF 29 – NYJ 21.5
Market Brief: BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Spread
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 1st Quarter Spread: vig-free consensus stands at BUF -2.5 -108 / NYJ +2.5 +108 across 15 consensus sportsbooks (19 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET). Best price per side: BUF -2.5 -112 at BetMGM; NYJ +3.5 -128 at FanDuel.
The line is unchanged since open (NYJ +2.5) across 20 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
What is the BUF @ NYJ 1st quarter spread consensus line and best price per side?
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 1st Quarter Spread: vig-free consensus stands at BUF -2.5 -108 / NYJ +2.5 +108 across 15 consensus sportsbooks (19 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET). Best price per side: BUF -2.5 -112 at BetMGM; NYJ +3.5 -128 at FanDuel.
How has the BUF @ NYJ 1st quarter spread moved from open to current?
The line is unchanged since open (NYJ +2.5) across 20 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for BUF @ NYJ 1st quarter spread?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
Why is the BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Spread moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward NYJ across 7 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward NYJ across 17 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 19 sportsbooks, consensus BUF -2.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Spread
The Buffalo Bills at New York Jets first-quarter spread opened at NYJ +2.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 10:45 AM ET) and currently sits at NYJ +2.5 across 20 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 11:18 AM ET, 7 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward NYJ by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Buffalo Bills at New York Jets first-quarter spread.
As of Wed, Nov 11, 2:47 PM ET, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.7% toward NYJ across 17 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 1.0 pt median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.
Across the 19 sportsbooks currently quoting the Buffalo Bills at New York Jets first-quarter spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 15-book consensus prices BUF at -2.5 -108 (51.9% vig-free probability) and NYJ at +2.5 +108 (48.1% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: BUF -2.5 -112 at BetMGM; NYJ +3.5 -128 at FanDuel.
Every NFL first-quarter spreads release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also reports Closing Line Value (CLV): Ahead of close, At the close, or Behind close against the release sportsbook's closing number. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (1st Quarter Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-new-york-jets-1q-spread-2026-11-15-35390" title="Buffalo Bills at New York Jets 1st Quarter Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-new-york-jets-1q-spread-2026-11-15-35390">BUF @ NYJ 1st Quarter Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>