Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 45 books
- 50.5 (20 consensus books · 45 tracked)
- Market Move
- 51 to 51 (net flat since open; moved up to 0.5 pts intraday)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 15 · At close: 1 · Behind: 6 (22 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- BUF 78.2% · NYJ 21.8%
- Consensus Spread
- NYJ +7.5
- Consensus Total
- 50.5
- Market-Implied Score
- BUF 29 – NYJ 21.5
Market Brief: BUF @ NYJ Total
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 50.5 -105 / Under 50.5 +105 across 20 consensus sportsbooks (45 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 50.5 -112 at ProphetX; Under 51 -108 at BetMGM.
The line is unchanged since open (51) across 45 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
What is the BUF @ NYJ total consensus line and best price per side?
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 50.5 -105 / Under 50.5 +105 across 20 consensus sportsbooks (45 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 50.5 -112 at ProphetX; Under 51 -108 at BetMGM.
How has the BUF @ NYJ total moved from open to current?
The line is unchanged since open (51) across 45 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for BUF @ NYJ total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).
Why is the BUF @ NYJ total moving?
- Market consensus moved from 51 to 50.5 toward Under across 3 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market consensus moved from 51 to 50.75 toward Under across 6 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market line moved 0.5 pts toward Under across 9 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
BUF @ NYJ Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 45 sportsbooks, consensus 50.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: BUF @ NYJ Total
The Buffalo Bills at New York Jets total opened at 51 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 10:45 AM ET) and currently sits at 51 across 45 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 3:58 PM ET, the market consensus moved through 51, shifting from 51 to 50.5 toward Under. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 51 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.
At Thu, Nov 12, 2:14 AM ET, the market consensus moved through 51, shifting from 51 to 50.75 toward Under. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 51 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.
At Thu, Nov 12, 7:54 AM ET, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Buffalo Bills at New York Jets total.
Across the 45 sportsbooks currently quoting the Buffalo Bills at New York Jets total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 20-book consensus prices Over at 50.5 -105 (51.2% vig-free probability) and Under at 50.5 +105 (48.8% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 50.5 -112 at ProphetX; Under 51 -108 at BetMGM.
In the NFL game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 15 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 6 (22 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 71.4% of moved lines ahead of close (15 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 6 Behind close) · Sept 24–Nov 9
Release Record — NFL game totals, since Sept 24 (Sept 24–Nov 9): 15-7, +21.7u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 71% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-new-york-jets-total-2026-11-15-35390" title="Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-new-york-jets-total-2026-11-15-35390">BUF @ NYJ Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>