Why is the DEN @ IND moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 57 books
- DEN -270 (57 consensus books · 57 tracked)
- Market Move
- IND 31.7% to 28.1% (3.7% implied probability toward DEN)
- Lane CLV record
- NBA moneylines: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost (3 measured)
Why is the DEN @ IND moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (1.9% implied probability) toward DEN across 15 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
DEN @ IND Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | DEN | IND | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -325 | +260 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | -335 | +260 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | -324 | +261 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | -330 | +265 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | -333 | +260 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | -290 | +280 | ProphetX |
Full market: 57 sportsbooks, consensus DEN -270. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: DEN @ IND Moneyline
The Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers moneyline opened at 31.7% implied probability for IND on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 28.1% implied probability for IND across 57 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 3.7% implied probability, with net market movement toward DEN. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 4:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT.
At Sat, Nov 7, 11:54 AM CT, 15 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward DEN by a median of 1.9% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers moneyline.
Across the 57 sportsbooks currently quoting the Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.8% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 57-book consensus prices DEN at -270 (73.0% vig-free probability) and IND at +270 (27.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: DEN -290 at ProphetX; IND +280 at ProphetX.
In the NBA moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 0, and lost 1 season to date (3 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NBA Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 1 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 66.7% |
| Last 30 days | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 66.7% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/denver-nuggets-at-indiana-pacers-moneyline-2026-11-07-34191" title="Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/denver-nuggets-at-indiana-pacers-moneyline-2026-11-07-34191">DEN @ IND Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>