Andrew Nembhard (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Andrew Nembhard's posted points line upward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 13.5 to 16.5 (+3.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Andrew Nembhard)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND @ BKN | 13.5 (-130) | — | 14 | Over | |
| PHI @ IND(Missed 1g) | 15.5 (-105) | +2.0 | 18 | Over | |
| IND @ MIA | 17.5 (-113) | +2.0 | 22 | Over | |
| BKN @ IND | 18.5 (-103) | +1.0 | 23 | Over | |
| IND @ MEM(Missed 1g) | 17.5 (-102) | -1.0 | 22 | Over | |
| DEN @ IND | 16.5 (-106) | -1.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Andrew Nembhard Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Actual output +6.3 vs. +3.0 book step adjustment (+3.3 Unpriced Book Lag).
- Window Open Line
- 13.5
- Current Posted Line
- 16.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +3.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 19.8
- Actual Output Delta
- +6.3
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 · @ BKN | 13.5 | — | 14 | +0.5 |
| Oct 28 · vs PHI | 15.5 | +2.0 | 18 | +2.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ MIA | 17.5 | +2.0 | 22 | +4.5 |
| Nov 1 · vs BKN | 18.5 | +1.0 | 23 | +4.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ MEM | 17.5 | -1.0 | 22 | +4.5 |
| Nov 7 · vs DEN | 16.5 | -1.0 | — | — |
Andrew Nembhard Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Andrew Nembhard.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Andrew Nembhard.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |