Why is the DEN @ IND 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 21 books
- DEN -154 (21 consensus books · 21 tracked)
- Market Move
- IND 41.7% to 40.8% (0.9% implied probability toward DEN)
- Lane CLV record
- NBA first-quarter moneylines: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)
Why is the DEN @ IND 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (1.8% implied probability) toward DEN across 6 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
DEN @ IND 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | DEN | IND | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -165 | +135 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | -190 | +155 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | -166 | +140 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | -192 | +154 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | -190 | +145 | Fanatics |
Full market: 21 sportsbooks, consensus DEN -154. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: DEN @ IND 1st Quarter Moneyline
The Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers first-quarter moneyline opened at 41.7% implied probability for IND on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 40.8% implied probability for IND across 21 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.9% implied probability, with net market movement toward DEN. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 4:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:29 PM CT.
At Sat, Nov 7, 11:55 AM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward DEN by a median of 1.8% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers first-quarter moneyline.
Across the 21 sportsbooks currently quoting the Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.2% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 21-book consensus prices DEN at -154 (60.7% vig-free probability) and IND at +154 (39.3% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: DEN -165 at BetMGM; IND +155 at Caesars.
WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every NBA first-quarter moneylines release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.
NBA First-Quarter Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Last 30 days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/denver-nuggets-at-indiana-pacers-1q-moneyline-2026-11-07-34191" title="Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/denver-nuggets-at-indiana-pacers-1q-moneyline-2026-11-07-34191">DEN @ IND 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>