Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 42 books
- TEX +175 (42 consensus books · 42 tracked)
- Market Move
- LSU 64.9% to 66.7% (1.8% implied probability toward LSU)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 19 · At close: 5 · Behind: 19 (43 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- TEX 36.3% · LSU 63.7%
- Consensus Spread
- LSU -4.5
- Consensus Total
- 46.5
- Market-Implied Score
- TEX 21 – LSU 25.5
Market Brief: TEX @ LSU Moneyline
Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at TEX +175 / LSU -175 across 42 consensus sportsbooks (42 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: TEX +170 at DraftKings; LSU -174 at ProphetX.
Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET), implied probability moved from 64.9% to 66.7% toward LSU (1.8% implied probability) across 44 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).
What is the TEX @ LSU moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at TEX +175 / LSU -175 across 42 consensus sportsbooks (42 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: TEX +170 at DraftKings; LSU -174 at ProphetX.
How has the TEX @ LSU moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET), implied probability moved from 64.9% to 66.7% toward LSU (1.8% implied probability) across 44 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for TEX @ LSU moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).
Why is the TEX @ LSU moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.3% implied probability) toward LSU across 14 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
TEX @ LSU Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 42 sportsbooks, consensus TEX +175. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: TEX @ LSU Moneyline
The Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers moneyline opened at 64.9% implied probability for LSU on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET) and currently sits at 66.7% implied probability for LSU across 44 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.8% implied probability, with net market movement toward LSU. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET.
At Fri, Nov 13, 7:14 PM ET, 14 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward LSU by a median of 2.3% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers moneyline.
Across the 42 sportsbooks currently quoting the Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 7.9% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 42-book consensus prices TEX at +175 (36.3% vig-free probability) and LSU at -175 (63.7% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TEX +170 at DraftKings; LSU -174 at ProphetX.
In the CFB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 19 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 19 (43 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 48.7% of moved lines ahead of close (19 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 20 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 13
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/texas-longhorns-at-lsu-tigers-moneyline-2026-11-14-27507" title="Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/texas-longhorns-at-lsu-tigers-moneyline-2026-11-14-27507">TEX @ LSU Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>