ENES
CFB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff

Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 34 books
TEX +4 (22 consensus books · 34 tracked)
Market Move
LSU -4 to -4 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 85 · At close: 11 · Behind: 55 (151 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
TEX 38.0% · LSU 62.0%
Consensus Spread
LSU -4
Consensus Total
46.5
Market-Implied Score
TEX 21.3 – LSU 25.3

Market Brief: TEX @ LSU Spread

Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers Spread: vig-free consensus stands at TEX +4 +100 / LSU -4 -100 across 22 consensus sportsbooks (34 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:53 PM ET). Best price per side: TEX +4 -108 at BetMGM; LSU -3.5 -119 at ProphetX.

The line is unchanged since open (LSU -4) across 35 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).

What is the TEX @ LSU spread consensus line and best price per side?

Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers Spread: vig-free consensus stands at TEX +4 +100 / LSU -4 -100 across 22 consensus sportsbooks (34 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:53 PM ET). Best price per side: TEX +4 -108 at BetMGM; LSU -3.5 -119 at ProphetX.

How has the TEX @ LSU spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (LSU -4) across 35 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for TEX @ LSU spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).

Why is the TEX @ LSU spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward TEX across 9 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

TEX
Vig-free consensus +4 +100 (49.9% across 22 books)
Best price: +4 -108 at BetMGM
LSU
Vig-free consensus -4 -100 (50.1% across 22 books)
Best price: -3.5 -119 at ProphetX

TEX @ LSU Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookTEXLSUExecution
BetMGM+4-108-4-110BetMGM
Caesars+4-110-4-109Caesars
DraftKings+4-110-4-110DraftKings
FanDuel+3.5+100-3.5-120FanDuel
Fanatics+4-110-4-110Fanatics
ProphetX+3.5+110-3.5-119ProphetX

Full market: 34 sportsbooks, consensus TEX +4. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: TEX @ LSU Spread

The Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers spread opened at LSU -4 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET) and currently sits at LSU -4 across 35 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:53 PM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 11:29 AM ET, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward TEX by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers spread.

Across the 34 sportsbooks currently quoting the Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 22-book consensus prices TEX at +4 +100 (49.9% vig-free probability) and LSU at -4 -100 (50.1% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TEX +4 -108 at BetMGM; LSU -3.5 -119 at ProphetX.

In the CFB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 85 · At the close: 11 · Behind close: 55 (151 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 60.7% of moved lines ahead of close (85 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 55 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 11

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date851155151
Last 30 days5643393

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 61% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/texas-longhorns-at-lsu-tigers-spread-2026-11-14-27507" title="Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/texas-longhorns-at-lsu-tigers-spread-2026-11-14-27507">TEX @ LSU Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>