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CFB · 1st Half MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: LSU (+1.4% implied prob)

Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers 1st Half Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 19 books
TEX +155 (19 consensus books · 19 tracked)
Market Move
LSU 62.3% to 63.6% (1.4% implied probability toward LSU)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 1 · At close: 1 · Behind: 0 (2 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
TEX 36.3% · LSU 63.7%
Consensus Spread
LSU -4.5
Consensus Total
46.5
Market-Implied Score
TEX 21 – LSU 25.5

Market Brief: TEX @ LSU 1st Half Moneyline

Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers 1st Half Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at TEX +155 / LSU -155 across 19 consensus sportsbooks (19 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:18 AM ET). Best price per side: TEX +150 at DraftKings; LSU -172 at ProphetX.

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET), implied probability moved from 62.3% to 63.6% toward LSU (1.4% implied probability) across 19 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).

What is the TEX @ LSU 1st half moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers 1st Half Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at TEX +155 / LSU -155 across 19 consensus sportsbooks (19 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:18 AM ET). Best price per side: TEX +150 at DraftKings; LSU -172 at ProphetX.

How has the TEX @ LSU 1st half moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET), implied probability moved from 62.3% to 63.6% toward LSU (1.4% implied probability) across 19 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for TEX @ LSU 1st half moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).

Why is the TEX @ LSU 1st Half Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.6% implied probability) toward LSU across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

TEX
Vig-free consensus +155 (39.3% across 19 books)
Best price: +150 at DraftKings
LSU
Vig-free consensus -155 (60.7% across 19 books)
Best price: -172 at ProphetX

TEX @ LSU 1st Half Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookTEXLSUExecution
BetMGM+145-175BetMGM
Caesars+143-176Caesars
DraftKings+150-180DraftKings
FanDuel+142-174FanDuel
Fanatics+140-185Fanatics
ProphetX+146-172ProphetX

Full market: 19 sportsbooks, consensus TEX +155. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: TEX @ LSU 1st Half Moneyline

The Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers first-half moneyline opened at 62.3% implied probability for LSU on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET) and currently sits at 63.6% implied probability for LSU across 19 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward LSU. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:18 AM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 8:27 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward LSU by a median of 2.6% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers first-half moneyline.

Across the 19 sportsbooks currently quoting the Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers first-half moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.0% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 19-book consensus prices TEX at +155 (39.3% vig-free probability) and LSU at -155 (60.7% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TEX +150 at DraftKings; LSU -172 at ProphetX.

In the CFB first-half moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 1 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 0 (2 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB First-Half Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 100.0% of moved lines ahead of close (1 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 0 Behind close) · Sept 25–Oct 3

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date1102
Last 30 days0000

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 100% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers (1st Half Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/texas-longhorns-at-lsu-tigers-1h-moneyline-2026-11-14-27507" title="Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/texas-longhorns-at-lsu-tigers-1h-moneyline-2026-11-14-27507">TEX @ LSU 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>