Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 10 books
- 25.5 (6 consensus books · 10 tracked)
- Market Move
- 25.5 to 25.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 33 · At close: 6 · Behind: 22 (61 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- TEX 38.0% · LSU 62.0%
- Consensus Spread
- LSU -4
- Consensus Total
- 46.5
- Market-Implied Score
- TEX 21.3 – LSU 25.3
Market Brief: TEX @ LSU Home Team Total
Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 25.5 -100 / Under 25.5 +100 across 6 consensus sportsbooks (10 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 24.5 -115 at Caesars; Under 25.5 -108 at BetMGM.
The line is unchanged since open (25.5) across 11 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).
What is the TEX @ LSU home team total consensus line and best price per side?
Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 25.5 -100 / Under 25.5 +100 across 6 consensus sportsbooks (10 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 24.5 -115 at Caesars; Under 25.5 -108 at BetMGM.
How has the TEX @ LSU home team total moved from open to current?
The line is unchanged since open (25.5) across 11 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for TEX @ LSU home team total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).
Why is the TEX @ LSU Home Team Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 3 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
TEX @ LSU Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 10 sportsbooks, consensus 25.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: TEX @ LSU Home Team Total
The Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers LSU Tigers team total opened at 25.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET) and currently sits at 25.5 across 11 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET.
At Thu, Nov 12, 10:00 AM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers LSU Tigers team total.
Across the 10 sportsbooks currently quoting the Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers LSU Tigers team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 6-book consensus prices Over at 25.5 -100 (50.0% vig-free probability) and Under at 25.5 +100 (50.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 24.5 -115 at Caesars; Under 25.5 -108 at BetMGM.
In the CFB team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 33 · At the close: 6 · Behind close: 22 (61 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 60.0% of moved lines ahead of close (33 Ahead of close · 6 At the close · 22 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 7
Release Record — CFB team totals, since Sept 25 (Sept 25–Nov 7): 33-28, +13.2u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 60% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/texas-longhorns-at-lsu-tigers-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27507" title="Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/texas-longhorns-at-lsu-tigers-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27507">TEX @ LSU Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>