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CFB · 1st Quarter MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: LSU (+1.5% implied prob)

Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 17 books
TEX +137 (17 consensus books · 17 tracked)
Market Move
LSU 60.0% to 61.5% (1.5% implied probability toward LSU)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
TEX 36.3% · LSU 63.7%
Consensus Spread
LSU -4.5
Consensus Total
46.5
Market-Implied Score
TEX 21 – LSU 25.5

Market Brief: TEX @ LSU 1st Quarter Moneyline

Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at TEX +137 / LSU -137 across 17 consensus sportsbooks (17 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:27 AM ET). Best price per side: TEX +130 at FanDuel; LSU -152 at FanDuel.

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET), implied probability moved from 60.0% to 61.5% toward LSU (1.5% implied probability) across 17 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).

What is the TEX @ LSU 1st quarter moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at TEX +137 / LSU -137 across 17 consensus sportsbooks (17 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:27 AM ET). Best price per side: TEX +130 at FanDuel; LSU -152 at FanDuel.

How has the TEX @ LSU 1st quarter moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET), implied probability moved from 60.0% to 61.5% toward LSU (1.5% implied probability) across 17 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for TEX @ LSU 1st quarter moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).

Why is the TEX @ LSU 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (1.8% implied probability) toward LSU across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

TEX
Vig-free consensus +137 (42.2% across 17 books)
Best price: +130 at FanDuel
LSU
Vig-free consensus -137 (57.8% across 17 books)
Best price: -152 at FanDuel

TEX @ LSU 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookTEXLSUExecution
BetMGM+125-160BetMGM
Caesars+124-159Caesars
DraftKings+124-160DraftKings
FanDuel+130-152FanDuel
Fanatics+120-160Fanatics
ProphetX+126-160ProphetX

Full market: 17 sportsbooks, consensus TEX +137. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: TEX @ LSU 1st Quarter Moneyline

The Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers first-quarter moneyline opened at 60.0% implied probability for LSU on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET) and currently sits at 61.5% implied probability for LSU across 17 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.5% implied probability, with net market movement toward LSU. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:27 AM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 12:33 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward LSU by a median of 1.8% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers first-quarter moneyline.

Across the 17 sportsbooks currently quoting the Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.1% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 17-book consensus prices TEX at +137 (42.2% vig-free probability) and LSU at -137 (57.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TEX +130 at FanDuel; LSU -152 at FanDuel.

Every CFB first-quarter moneylines release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also reports Closing Line Value (CLV): Ahead of close, At the close, or Behind close against the release sportsbook's closing number. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/texas-longhorns-at-lsu-tigers-1q-moneyline-2026-11-14-27507" title="Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/texas-longhorns-at-lsu-tigers-1q-moneyline-2026-11-14-27507">TEX @ LSU 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>