ENES
CFB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: PSU (+4.1% implied prob)

Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 43 books
MINN +361 (43 consensus books · 43 tracked)
Market Move
PSU 77.9% to 82.0% (4.1% implied probability toward PSU)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 19 · At close: 5 · Behind: 19 (43 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
MINN 21.7% · PSU 78.3%
Consensus Spread
PSU -11.5
Consensus Total
42.5
Market-Implied Score
MINN 15.5 – PSU 27

Market Brief: MINN @ PSU Moneyline

Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MINN +361 / PSU -361 across 43 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: MINN +380 at ProphetX; PSU -395 at ProphetX.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 77.9% to 82.0% toward PSU (4.1% implied probability) across 47 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).

What is the MINN @ PSU moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MINN +361 / PSU -361 across 43 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: MINN +380 at ProphetX; PSU -395 at ProphetX.

How has the MINN @ PSU moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 77.9% to 82.0% toward PSU (4.1% implied probability) across 47 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MINN @ PSU moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).

Why is the MINN @ PSU moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.5% implied probability) toward PSU across 27 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

MINN
Vig-free consensus +361 (21.7% across 43 books)
Best price: +380 at ProphetX
PSU
Vig-free consensus -361 (78.3% across 43 books)
Best price: -395 at ProphetX

MINN @ PSU Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookMINNPSUExecution
BetMGM+360-450BetMGM
Caesars+340-460Caesars
DraftKings+350-455DraftKings
FanDuel+350-450FanDuel
Fanatics+360-475Fanatics
ProphetX+380-395ProphetX

Full market: 43 sportsbooks, consensus MINN +361. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MINN @ PSU Moneyline

The Minnesota Golden Gophers at Penn State Nittany Lions moneyline opened at 77.9% implied probability for PSU on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 82.0% implied probability for PSU across 47 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 4.1% implied probability, with net market movement toward PSU. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 5:58 PM ET, 27 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward PSU by a median of 2.5% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Minnesota Golden Gophers at Penn State Nittany Lions moneyline.

Across the 43 sportsbooks currently quoting the Minnesota Golden Gophers at Penn State Nittany Lions moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 14.2% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 43-book consensus prices MINN at +361 (21.7% vig-free probability) and PSU at -361 (78.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MINN +380 at ProphetX; PSU -395 at ProphetX.

In the CFB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 19 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 19 (43 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 48.7% of moved lines ahead of close (19 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 20 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 13

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date1951943
Last 30 days1521330

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Minnesota Golden Gophers at Penn State Nittany Lions (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/minnesota-golden-gophers-at-penn-state-nittany-lions-moneyline-2026-11-14-27487" title="Minnesota Golden Gophers at Penn State Nittany Lions Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/minnesota-golden-gophers-at-penn-state-nittany-lions-moneyline-2026-11-14-27487">MINN @ PSU Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>