ENES
CFB · 1st Half SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: LSU -2.5 → -3.5 (-1.0 pts)

Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers 1st Half Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 19 books
TEX +3.5 (12 consensus books · 19 tracked)
Market Move
LSU -2.5 to -3.5 (1.0 pt toward LSU)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 18 · At close: 5 · Behind: 10 (33 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
TEX 36.3% · LSU 63.7%
Consensus Spread
LSU -4.5
Consensus Total
46.5
Market-Implied Score
TEX 21 – LSU 25.5

Market Brief: TEX @ LSU 1st Half Spread

Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at TEX +3.5 -109 / LSU -3.5 +109 across 12 consensus sportsbooks (19 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:18 AM ET). Best price per side: TEX +3.5 -120 at BetMGM; LSU -2.5 -135 at Fanatics.

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET), the line moved from LSU -2.5 to LSU -3.5 (1.0 pt) across 21 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).

What is the TEX @ LSU 1st half spread consensus line and best price per side?

Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at TEX +3.5 -109 / LSU -3.5 +109 across 12 consensus sportsbooks (19 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:18 AM ET). Best price per side: TEX +3.5 -120 at BetMGM; LSU -2.5 -135 at Fanatics.

How has the TEX @ LSU 1st half spread moved from open to current?

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET), the line moved from LSU -2.5 to LSU -3.5 (1.0 pt) across 21 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for TEX @ LSU 1st half spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).

Why is the TEX @ LSU 1st Half Spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward LSU across 7 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

TEX
Vig-free consensus +3.5 -109 (52.2% across 12 books)
Best price: +3.5 -120 at BetMGM
LSU
Vig-free consensus -3.5 +109 (47.8% across 12 books)
Best price: -2.5 -135 at Fanatics

TEX @ LSU 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookTEXLSUExecution
BetMGM+3.5-120-3.5+100BetMGM
Caesars+3-110-3-112Caesars
DraftKings+3-105-3-115DraftKings
FanDuel+3.5-122-3.5+100FanDuel
Fanatics+2.5+100-2.5-135Fanatics
ProphetX+3.5-125-3.5+106ProphetX

Full market: 19 sportsbooks, consensus TEX +3.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: TEX @ LSU 1st Half Spread

The Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers first-half spread opened at LSU -2.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 3:15 PM ET) and currently sits at LSU -3.5 across 21 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward LSU. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:18 AM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 7:29 PM ET, 7 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward LSU by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers first-half spread.

Across the 19 sportsbooks currently quoting the Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 12-book consensus prices TEX at +3.5 -109 (52.2% vig-free probability) and LSU at -3.5 +109 (47.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TEX +3.5 -120 at BetMGM; LSU -2.5 -135 at Fanatics.

In the CFB first-half spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 18 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 10 (33 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB First-Half Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 64.3% of moved lines ahead of close (18 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 10 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 12

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date1851033
Last 30 days70310

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 64% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers (1st Half Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/texas-longhorns-at-lsu-tigers-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27507" title="Texas Longhorns at LSU Tigers 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/texas-longhorns-at-lsu-tigers-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27507">TEX @ LSU 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>