California Golden Bears @ Virginia Cavaliers Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Release Status
- Locked Release · Logged Fri, Nov 13, 9:16 PM ET · Opens at the final
- Current Consensus across 45 books
- CAL +378 (45 consensus books · 45 tracked)
- Market Move
- UVA 81.0% to 82.9% (2.0% implied probability toward UVA)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 19 · At close: 5 · Behind: 19 (43 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- CAL 20.9% · UVA 79.1%
- Consensus Spread
- UVA -11.5
- Consensus Total
- 47.5
- Market-Implied Score
- CAL 18 – UVA 29.5
Market Brief: CAL @ UVA Moneyline
California Golden Bears @ Virginia Cavaliers Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at CAL +378 / UVA -378 across 45 consensus sportsbooks (45 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: CAL +385 at ProphetX; UVA -395 at ProphetX.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 81.0% to 82.9% toward UVA (2.0% implied probability) across 47 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.
What is the CAL @ UVA moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
California Golden Bears @ Virginia Cavaliers Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at CAL +378 / UVA -378 across 45 consensus sportsbooks (45 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: CAL +385 at ProphetX; UVA -395 at ProphetX.
How has the CAL @ UVA moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 81.0% to 82.9% toward UVA (2.0% implied probability) across 47 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for CAL @ UVA moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.
Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final
Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.
Read on WAGERBIRD →Why is the CAL @ UVA moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (1.8% implied probability) toward UVA across 17 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
CAL @ UVA Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 45 sportsbooks, consensus CAL +378. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Summary: CAL @ UVA Moneyline
Across 45 tracked sportsbooks, the CAL @ UVA moneyline implied probability moved from 81.0% at open to 82.9% toward UVA (2.0% implied probability).
Best current licensed partner quotes: CAL +385 at ProphetX; UVA -395 at ProphetX. Quoting books currently span 7.7% implied probability across the market.
CFB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 48.7% of moved lines ahead of close (19 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 20 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 13
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for California Golden Bears at Virginia Cavaliers (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/california-golden-bears-at-virginia-cavaliers-moneyline-2026-11-14-27496" title="California Golden Bears at Virginia Cavaliers Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/california-golden-bears-at-virginia-cavaliers-moneyline-2026-11-14-27496">CAL @ UVA Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>