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CFB · 1st Quarter MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: AF (+1.5% implied prob)

San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 18 books
SJST +233 (17 consensus books · 18 tracked)
Market Move
AF 72.2% to 73.7% (1.5% implied probability toward AF)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
SJST 18.7% · AF 81.3%
Consensus Spread
AF -13.5
Consensus Total
48.5
Market-Implied Score
SJST 17.5 – AF 31

Market Brief: SJST @ AF 1st Quarter Moneyline

San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at SJST +233 / AF -233 across 17 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: SJST +230 at DraftKings; AF -260 at FanDuel.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 72.2% to 73.7% toward AF (1.5% implied probability) across 18 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).

What is the SJST @ AF 1st quarter moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at SJST +233 / AF -233 across 17 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: SJST +230 at DraftKings; AF -260 at FanDuel.

How has the SJST @ AF 1st quarter moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 72.2% to 73.7% toward AF (1.5% implied probability) across 18 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for SJST @ AF 1st quarter moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).

Why is the SJST @ AF 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (3.0% implied probability) toward AF across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

SJST
Vig-free consensus +233 (30% across 17 books)
Best price: +230 at DraftKings
AF
Vig-free consensus -233 (70% across 17 books)
Best price: -260 at FanDuel

SJST @ AF 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookSJSTAFExecution
BetMGM+225-300BetMGM
Caesars+205-280Caesars
DraftKings+230-315DraftKings
FanDuel+215-260FanDuel
Fanatics+210-285Fanatics
ProphetX—-285ProphetX

Full market: 18 sportsbooks, consensus SJST +233. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: SJST @ AF 1st Quarter Moneyline

The San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons first-quarter moneyline opened at 72.2% implied probability for AF on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 73.7% implied probability for AF across 18 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.5% implied probability, with net market movement toward AF. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 8:12 PM ET, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward AF by a median of 3.0% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons first-quarter moneyline.

Across the 18 sportsbooks currently quoting the San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.6% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 17-book consensus prices SJST at +233 (30.0% vig-free probability) and AF at -233 (70.0% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: SJST +230 at DraftKings; AF -260 at FanDuel.

Every CFB first-quarter moneylines release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also reports Closing Line Value (CLV): Ahead of close, At the close, or Behind close against the release sportsbook's closing number. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/san-jose-state-spartans-at-air-force-falcons-1q-moneyline-2026-11-14-27522" title="San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/san-jose-state-spartans-at-air-force-falcons-1q-moneyline-2026-11-14-27522">SJST @ AF 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>