ENES
CFB · 1st Quarter MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: UCF (+1.4% implied prob)

Arizona State Sun Devils @ UCF Knights 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 18 books
ASU +129 (18 consensus books · 18 tracked)
Market Move
UCF 58.7% to 60.1% (1.4% implied probability toward UCF)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
ASU 39.4% · UCF 60.6%
Consensus Spread
UCF -3.5
Consensus Total
47.5
Market-Implied Score
ASU 22 – UCF 25.5

Market Brief: ASU @ UCF 1st Quarter Moneyline

Arizona State Sun Devils @ UCF Knights 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at ASU +129 / UCF -129 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: ASU +122 at FanDuel; UCF -140 at BetMGM.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 58.7% to 60.1% toward UCF (1.4% implied probability) across 18 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

What is the ASU @ UCF 1st quarter moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Arizona State Sun Devils @ UCF Knights 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at ASU +129 / UCF -129 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: ASU +122 at FanDuel; UCF -140 at BetMGM.

How has the ASU @ UCF 1st quarter moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 58.7% to 60.1% toward UCF (1.4% implied probability) across 18 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for ASU @ UCF 1st quarter moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

Why is the ASU @ UCF 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (1.7% implied probability) toward UCF across 4 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

ASU
Vig-free consensus +129 (43.7% across 18 books)
Best price: +122 at FanDuel
UCF
Vig-free consensus -129 (56.3% across 18 books)
Best price: -140 at BetMGM

ASU @ UCF 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookASUUCFExecution
BetMGM+110-140BetMGM
Caesars+118-150Caesars
DraftKings+120-154DraftKings
FanDuel+122-144FanDuel
Fanatics+115-150Fanatics
ProphetX+121-152ProphetX

Full market: 18 sportsbooks, consensus ASU +129. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ASU @ UCF 1st Quarter Moneyline

The Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights first-quarter moneyline opened at 58.7% implied probability for UCF on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 60.1% implied probability for UCF across 18 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward UCF. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UCF by a median of 1.7% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights first-quarter moneyline.

Across the 18 sportsbooks currently quoting the Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.5% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 18-book consensus prices ASU at +129 (43.7% vig-free probability) and UCF at -129 (56.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: ASU +122 at FanDuel; UCF -140 at BetMGM.

Every CFB first-quarter moneylines release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also reports Closing Line Value (CLV): Ahead of close, At the close, or Behind close against the release sportsbook's closing number. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/arizona-state-sun-devils-at-ucf-knights-1q-moneyline-2026-11-14-27486" title="Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF Knights 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/arizona-state-sun-devils-at-ucf-knights-1q-moneyline-2026-11-14-27486">ASU @ UCF 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>