NBA · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: OKC (+2.3% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the WAS @ OKC moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 57 books
WAS +447 (57 consensus books · 57 tracked)
Market Move
OKC 83.3% to 85.6% (2.3% implied probability toward OKC)
Lane CLV record
NBA moneylines: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost (3 measured)

Why is the WAS @ OKC moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.4% implied probability) toward OKC across 41 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

WAS
Vig-free consensus +447 (18.3% across 57 books)
Best price: +490 at ProphetX
OKC
Vig-free consensus -447 (81.7% across 57 books)
Best price: -510 at ProphetX

WAS @ OKC Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookWASOKCUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+425-600BetMGM
Caesars+430-600Caesars
DraftKings+443-598DraftKings
FanDuel+450-600FanDuel
Fanatics+430-600Fanatics
ProphetX+490-510ProphetX

Full market: 57 sportsbooks, consensus WAS +447. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: WAS @ OKC Moneyline

The Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder moneyline opened at 83.3% implied probability for OKC on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 85.6% implied probability for OKC across 57 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.3% implied probability, with net market movement toward OKC. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:25 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 7:39 AM CT, 41 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward OKC by a median of 2.4% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder moneyline.

Across the 57 sportsbooks currently quoting the Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.4% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 57-book consensus prices WAS at +447 (18.3% vig-free probability) and OKC at -447 (81.7% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: WAS +490 at ProphetX; OKC -510 at ProphetX.

In the NBA moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 0, and lost 1 season to date (3 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 1 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date201366.7%
Last 30 days201366.7%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/washington-wizards-at-oklahoma-city-thunder-moneyline-2026-11-07-34194" title="Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/washington-wizards-at-oklahoma-city-thunder-moneyline-2026-11-07-34194">WAS @ OKC Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>