Alexandre Sarr (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Alexandre Sarr's posted points line upward in 1 of 5 game-over-game steps from 10.5 to 11.5 (+1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Alexandre Sarr)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAS @ CLE | 10.5 (-120) | — | — | — | |
| CHA @ WAS | 10.5 (+101) | 0.0 | — | — | |
| WAS @ ORL | 10.5 (+100) | 0.0 | — | — | |
| ATL @ WAS | 10.5 (-104) | 0.0 | — | — | |
| WAS @ ATL | 13.5 (-115) | +3.0 | — | — | |
| WAS @ OKC | 11.5 (+107) | -2.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Alexandre Sarr Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Insufficient 6-game box-score history to measure book step-lag.
- Window Open Line
- 10.5
- Current Posted Line
- 11.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- —
- Actual Output Delta
- —
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · @ CLE | 10.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 30 · vs CHA | 10.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
| Nov 2 · @ ORL | 10.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
| Nov 4 · vs ATL | 10.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
| Nov 6 · @ ATL | 13.5 | +3.0 | — | — |
| Nov 7 · @ OKC | 11.5 | -2.0 | — | — |
Alexandre Sarr Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
2 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 2 settled Alexandre Sarr prop write-ups.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | WAS @ CHA | Points | Under 11.5 (-115) · Caesars | 10.5 | — | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
| Oct 23 | TOR @ WAS | Points | Under 12.5 (-114) · FanDuel | 12.5 | — | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
Archived Settled Alexandre Sarr Prop Write-Ups
Sarr's reduced shot budget leaves him needing unusually efficient finishing to reach the scoring threshold.
Counter-Case: Early foul trouble elsewhere in the frontcourt could push more minutes and touches his way. Quick rolls, putbacks and free throws could produce an efficient scoring night without a large shot count.
Sarr's smaller finishing share beside Washington's primary creators limits his scoring despite useful frontcourt minutes.
Counter-Case: Young can find Sarr for lobs and pick-and-pop attempts that require little self-creation. Early perimeter makes or Davis foul trouble could turn a supporting scoring assignment into a larger one.
Alexandre Sarr WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |