NBA · 1st Half MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM CTMarket Move: OKC (+1.4% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the WAS @ OKC 1st Half Moneyline moving?

Name: Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder First-half moneyline: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-07T17:02:36.757Z

Prices as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:25 PM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sat, Nov 7, 11:02 AM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 12:21 PM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 24 books: WAS +297 (24 consensus books · 24 tracked)
Market Move: OKC 77.1% to 78.5% (1.4% implied probability toward OKC)
Lane CLV record: NBA first-half moneylines: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)

Why is the WAS @ OKC 1st Half Moneyline moving?

Sat, Nov 7, 7:27 AM CTMarket consensus updated (2.5% implied probability) toward OKC across 13 tracked sportsbooks.

WAS

Vig-free consensus +297 (25.2% across 24 books)

Best price: +295 at ProphetX

OKC

Vig-free consensus -297 (74.8% across 24 books)

Best price: -325 at BetMGM

WAS @ OKC 1st Half Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	WAS	OKC	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	+260	-325	Sat, Nov 7, 3:23 PM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	+275	-350	Sat, Nov 7, 3:08 PM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	+285	-360	Sat, Nov 7, 3:23 PM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	+265	-350	Sat, Nov 7, 3:22 PM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	+265	-375	Sat, Nov 7, 3:22 PM CT	Fanatics
ProphetX	+295	-355	Sat, Nov 7, 3:14 PM CT	ProphetX

Full market: 24 sportsbooks, consensus WAS +297. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: WAS @ OKC 1st Half Moneyline

The Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder first-half moneyline opened at 77.1% implied probability for OKC on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 12:08 AM CT) and currently sits at 78.5% implied probability for OKC across 24 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward OKC. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:25 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 7:27 AM CT, 13 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward OKC by a median of 2.5% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder first-half moneyline.

Across the 24 sportsbooks currently quoting the Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder first-half moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.5% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 24-book consensus prices WAS at +297 (25.2% vig-free probability) and OKC at -297 (74.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: WAS +295 at ProphetX; OKC -325 at BetMGM.

WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every NBA first-half moneylines release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

NBA First-Half Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	0	0	0	0	-
Last 30 days	0	0	0	0	-

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder (1st Half Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/washington-wizards-at-oklahoma-city-thunder-1h-moneyline-2026-11-07-34194" title="Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/washington-wizards-at-oklahoma-city-thunder-1h-moneyline-2026-11-07-34194">WAS @ OKC 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftWAS @ OKC · Points

WAS @ OKC · Washington Wizards WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Washington Wizards's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

WAS Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 5 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+10.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 114.6 vs. 104.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
90.0	78.5%	114.6	104.5 (-118)	+10.1

Compare WAS Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 104.5 (O -118)DraftKings 104.5 (O -118)BetMGM 104.5 (O -120)Caesars 104.5 (O -120)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Anthony Davis WAS · Prev 22.5 (-3.0)	19.5	19.6%	18.7%(-0.9% vs Hist)	-2.0		Team Tide Shift
#2 Trae Young WAS · Prev 21.5 (-3.0)

Washington Wizards (WAS)Team Tide Shift

+10.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 114.6 vs. 104.5 Posted Team Total)

Oklahoma City Thunder (OKC)Team Tide Shift

-11.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 105.8 vs. 117.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Washington Wizards team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftWAS @ OKC · Points

WAS @ OKC · Oklahoma City Thunder WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Oklahoma City Thunder's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

OKC Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 3 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-11.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 105.8 vs. 117.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC · Prev 31.5 (0.0)	31.5	28.1%	26.8%(-1.3% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#2 Ajay Mitchell OKC · Prev 19.5 (0.0)	19.5	21.6%	16.6%(-5.0% vs Hist)	+1.0	Steady Share
#3 Jared McCain OKC · Prev 12.5 (+1.0)	13.5	11.3%	11.5%(+0.2% vs Hist)	-3.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Isaiah Hartenstein OKC · Prev 9.5 (-1.0)	8.5	6.8%	7.2%(+0.4% vs Hist)	-2.0	Usage Transfer
#5 Bennett Stirtz OKC · Prev 6.5 (+2.0)	8.5	9.5%	7.2%(-2.3% vs Hist)	+2.0	Team Tide Shift
#6 Aday Mara OKC · Prev 7.5 (+1.0)	8.5	7.8%	7.2%(-0.6% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift

Why is the WAS @ OKC 1st Half Moneyline moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

WAS @ OKC 1st Half Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: WAS @ OKC 1st Half Moneyline

NBA First-Half Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

WAS @ OKC · Washington Wizards WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WAS @ OKC · Oklahoma City Thunder WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WAS @ OKC · Washington Wizards WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WAS @ OKC · Oklahoma City Thunder WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)