Ajay Mitchell (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Ajay Mitchell's posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 18.5 to 19.5 (+1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Ajay Mitchell)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC @ DAL | 18.5 (-106) | — | 29 | Over | |
| OKC @ HOU | 18.5 (-104) | 0.0 | 6 | Under | |
| OKC @ CLE | 17.5 (-125) | -1.0 | 20 | Over | |
| CLE @ OKC | 18.5 (-113) | +1.0 | 23 | Over | |
| OKC @ MEM | 19.5 (-122) | +1.0 | 35 | Over | |
| WAS @ OKC | 19.5 (-110) | 0.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Ajay Mitchell Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Actual output +4.1 vs. +1.0 book step adjustment (+3.1 Unpriced Book Lag).
- Window Open Line
- 18.5
- Current Posted Line
- 19.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 22.6
- Actual Output Delta
- +4.1
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · @ DAL | 18.5 | — | 29 | +10.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ HOU | 18.5 | 0.0 | 6 | -12.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ CLE | 17.5 | -1.0 | 20 | +2.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs CLE | 18.5 | +1.0 | 23 | +4.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ MEM | 19.5 | +1.0 | 35 | +15.5 |
| Nov 7 · vs WAS | 19.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
Ajay Mitchell Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Ajay Mitchell.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Ajay Mitchell.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |