NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: WASPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-2.0 over 6 games)

Anthony Davis (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
Anthony Davis Releases: 1 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Anthony Davis's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 21.5 to 19.5 (-2.0).24.523.322.120.919.718.521.520.522.523.522.519.5Oct 28WAS @ CLEOct 30CHA @ WASNov 2WAS @ ORLNov 4ATL @ WASNov 6WAS @ ATLNov 7WAS @ OKC

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Anthony Davis's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 21.5 to 19.5 (-2.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Anthony Davis)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
WAS @ CLE21.5 (-106)—18Under
CHA @ WAS20.5 (-120)-1.025Over
WAS @ ORL22.5 (-104)+2.027Over
ATL @ WAS23.5 (-105)+1.026Over
WAS @ ATL22.5 (-113)-1.0——
WAS @ OKC19.5 (-106)-3.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Anthony Davis Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +2.5 vs. -2.0 book step adjustment (+4.5 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+4.5Max Single-Game Book Step: -3.0
Window Open Line
21.5
Current Posted Line
19.5
Book Cumulative Step
-2.0
Actual Window Avg
24.0
Actual Output Delta
+2.5
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Anthony Davis Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output301618Oct 28@ CLE25Oct 30vs CHA27Nov 2@ ORL26Nov 4vs ATLNov 6@ ATLNov 7@ OKC
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 28 · @ CLE21.5—18-3.5
Oct 30 · vs CHA20.5-1.025+4.5
Nov 2 · @ ORL22.5+2.027+4.5
Nov 4 · vs ATL23.5+1.026+2.5
Nov 6 · @ ATL22.5-1.0——
Nov 7 · @ OKC19.5-3.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Anthony Davis Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 active Anthony Davis prop write-up tracked awaiting closing line settlement.

Anthony Davis CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 23TOR @ WASPointsOver 21.5 (-109) · DraftKings22.59—Read Write-Up →

Archived Settled Anthony Davis Prop Write-Ups

Oct 23 CT · TOR @ WAS · PointsFull Write-Up →

Davis's primary finishing role supplies enough interior attempts and free throws to reach the scoring threshold.

Counter-Case: Toronto can front the post and crowd Davis's catches, forcing him to pass before gathering a shot. Fewer foul calls or early personal fouls could remove both scoring opportunities and playing time.

Anthony Davis WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Nov 4ATL @ WASReboundsUnder 10.510.510Tied
Oct 30CHA @ WASReboundsUnder 10.59.513Beat
Oct 23TOR @ WASPointsOver 21.522.59—

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136