NBA · TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Under 221.5 → 219.5 (-2.0 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the ORL @ GSW total moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 46 books
219.5 (29 consensus books · 46 tracked)
Market Move
221.5 to 219.5 (2.0 pts toward Under)
Lane CLV record
NBA game totals: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (2 measured)

Why is the ORL @ GSW total moving?

  • Market line moved 3.0 pts toward Over across 12 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 2.0 pts toward Under across 48 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 219.5 -101 (50.3% across 29 books)
Best price: 219.5 -110 at Caesars
Under
Vig-free consensus 219.5 +101 (49.7% across 29 books)
Best price: 220.5 -112 at FanDuel

ORL @ GSW Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM220.5-110220.5-118BetMGM
Caesars219.5-110219.5-110Caesars
DraftKings219.5-112219.5-108DraftKings
FanDuel220.5-108220.5-112FanDuel
Fanatics219.5-110219.5-110Fanatics
ProphetX220.5+107220.5-112ProphetX

Full market: 46 sportsbooks, consensus 219.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ORL @ GSW Total

The Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors total opened at 221.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 219.5 across 48 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.0 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 7:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 4:30 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 9:27 AM CT, 12 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 3.0 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors total.

As of Sat, Nov 7, 1:36 PM CT, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.1% toward Under across 48 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 2.0 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

Across the 46 sportsbooks currently quoting the Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 29-book consensus prices Over at 219.5 -101 (50.3% vig-free probability) and Under at 219.5 +101 (49.7% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 219.5 -110 at Caesars; Under 220.5 -112 at FanDuel.

In the NBA game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 0, and lost 0 season to date (2 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date2002100.0%
Last 30 days2002100.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors (Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/orlando-magic-at-golden-state-warriors-total-2026-11-07-34195" title="Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/orlando-magic-at-golden-state-warriors-total-2026-11-07-34195">ORL @ GSW Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>