NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: ORLPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Up (+2.0 over 6 games)

Wendell Carter Jr. (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
Wendell Carter Jr. Releases: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Wendell Carter Jr.'s posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 11.5 to 13.5 (+2.0).14.513.512.511.510.59.511.510.511.511.511.513.5Oct 28ORL @ TOROct 30ORL @ TORNov 1BOS @ ORLNov 2WAS @ ORLNov 5ORL @ PHXNov 7ORL @ GSW

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Wendell Carter Jr.'s posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 11.5 to 13.5 (+2.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Wendell Carter Jr.)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
ORL @ TOR11.5 (+111)—3Under
ORL @ TOR10.5 (-115)-1.020Over
BOS @ ORL11.5 (-106)+1.07Under
WAS @ ORL11.5 (-121)0.06Under
ORL @ PHX11.5 (-132)0.027Over
ORL @ GSW13.5 (+103)+2.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (+2.0) tracks actual window production (+1.1).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.9Max Single-Game Book Step: +2.0
Window Open Line
11.5
Current Posted Line
13.5
Book Cumulative Step
+2.0
Actual Window Avg
12.6
Actual Output Delta
+1.1
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Wendell Carter Jr. Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output3303Oct 28@ TOR20Oct 30@ TOR7Nov 1vs BOS6Nov 2vs WAS27Nov 5@ PHXNov 7@ GSW
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 28 · @ TOR11.5—3-8.5
Oct 30 · @ TOR10.5-1.020+9.5
Nov 1 · vs BOS11.5+1.07-4.5
Nov 2 · vs WAS11.50.06-5.5
Nov 5 · @ PHX11.50.027+15.5
Nov 7 · @ GSW13.5+2.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Wendell Carter Jr. Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 1 Lost)

0 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Wendell Carter Jr. prop write-up.

Wendell Carter Jr. CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 1 Lost
1 Settled CLV Receipt
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 25ORL @ NYKPointsOver 11.5 (-115) · Fanatics11.59LostRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Wendell Carter Jr. Prop Write-Ups

Oct 25 CT · ORL @ NYK · PointsFull Write-Up →

Steady center minutes and a modest shot load can get Carter past the scoring target without repeating his hot start.

Counter-Case: Fouls while defending Towns can interrupt Carter's normal stints or push him out of the closing lineup. If Orlando channels its remaining offense through perimeter creators, his shot count can shrink before his shooting efficiency matters.

Wendell Carter Jr. WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Oct 25ORL @ NYKPointsOver 11.511.59Lost

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136