NBA · 1st Quarter TotalMarket MovementKickoff Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM CTMarket UpdateES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the WAS @ OKC 1st Quarter Total moving?

Name: Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder First-quarter total: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-07T22:12:13.558Z

Prices as of Sat, Nov 7, 5:30 PM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sat, Nov 7, 4:12 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 4:12 PM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 20 books: 57.5 (15 consensus books · 20 tracked)
Market Move: 57.5 to 57.5 (flat since open)
Lane CLV record: NBA first-quarter game totals: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)

Why is the WAS @ OKC 1st Quarter Total moving?

Sat, Nov 7, 4:08 PM CTMarket line moved 0.5 pts toward Over across 7 tracked sportsbooks.

Over

Vig-free consensus 57.5 -106 (51.4% across 15 books)

Best price: 57.5 -118 at BetMGM

Under

Vig-free consensus 57.5 +106 (48.6% across 15 books)

Best price: 57.5 -102 at BetMGM

WAS @ OKC 1st Quarter Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Over	Under	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	57.5-118	57.5-102	Sat, Nov 7, 5:29 PM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	57.5-125	57.5-105	Sat, Nov 7, 5:06 PM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	57.5-118	57.5-102	Sat, Nov 7, 5:28 PM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	57.5-122	57.5-104	Sat, Nov 7, 5:25 PM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	57.5-120	57.5-110	Sat, Nov 7, 5:12 PM CT	Fanatics

Full market: 20 sportsbooks, consensus 57.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: WAS @ OKC 1st Quarter Total

The Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder first-quarter total opened at 57.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 12:08 AM CT) and currently sits at 57.5 across 20 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 5:30 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 4:08 PM CT, 7 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder first-quarter total.

Across the 20 sportsbooks currently quoting the Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder first-quarter total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 15-book consensus prices Over at 57.5 -106 (51.4% vig-free probability) and Under at 57.5 +106 (48.6% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 57.5 -118 at BetMGM; Under 57.5 -102 at BetMGM.

WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every NBA first-quarter game totals release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

NBA First-Quarter Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	0	0	0	0	-
Last 30 days	0	0	0	0	-

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder (1st Quarter Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/washington-wizards-at-oklahoma-city-thunder-1q-total-2026-11-07-34194" title="Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder 1st Quarter Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/washington-wizards-at-oklahoma-city-thunder-1q-total-2026-11-07-34194">WAS @ OKC 1st Quarter Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftWAS @ OKC · Points

WAS @ OKC · Washington Wizards WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Washington Wizards's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

WAS Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 5 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+7.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 113.4 vs. 105.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
89.0	78.5%	113.4	105.5 (-108)	+7.9

Compare WAS Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 105.5 (O -118)DraftKings 105.5 (O -118)BetMGM 105.5 (O -118)Caesars 105.5 (O -120)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Anthony Davis WAS · Prev 22.5 (-3.0)	19.5	19.6%	18.5%(-1.1% vs Hist)	-2.0		Team Tide Shift
#2 Trae Young WAS · Prev 21.5 (-3.0)

Washington Wizards (WAS)Team Tide Shift

+7.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 113.4 vs. 105.5 Posted Team Total)

Oklahoma City Thunder (OKC)Usage Transfer

-12.5 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 105.0 vs. 117.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Washington Wizards team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Usage TransferWAS @ OKC · Points

WAS @ OKC · Oklahoma City Thunder WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Oklahoma City Thunder's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

OKC Rotation Mode: Usage TransferUsage Transfer: 2 Core Scorers Up vs. 2 DownInternal Rotation Usage Transfer: Scoring Share Redistributing Inside Core-6 Rotation

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-12.5 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 105.0 vs. 117.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC · Prev 31.5 (0.0)	31.5	28.1%	26.8%(-1.3% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#2 Ajay Mitchell OKC · Prev 19.5 (0.0)	19.5	21.6%	16.6%(-5.0% vs Hist)	+1.0	Steady Share
#3 Jared McCain OKC · Prev 12.5 (+1.0)	13.5	11.3%	11.5%(+0.2% vs Hist)	-3.0	Usage Transfer
#4 Isaiah Hartenstein OKC · Prev 9.5 (-1.0)	8.5	6.8%	7.2%(+0.4% vs Hist)	-2.0	Usage Transfer
#5 Bennett Stirtz OKC · Prev 6.5 (+2.0)	8.5	9.5%	7.2%(-2.3% vs Hist)	+2.0	Usage Transfer
#6 Kenrich Williams OKC · Prev 8.5 (-1.0)	7.5	7.5%	6.4%(-1.1% vs Hist)	-1.0	Usage Transfer

Why is the WAS @ OKC 1st Quarter Total moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

WAS @ OKC 1st Quarter Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: WAS @ OKC 1st Quarter Total

NBA First-Quarter Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

WAS @ OKC · Washington Wizards WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WAS @ OKC · Oklahoma City Thunder WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WAS @ OKC · Washington Wizards WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WAS @ OKC · Oklahoma City Thunder WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)