NBA · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: GSW -6.5 → -7.5 (-1.0 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the ORL @ GSW spread moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 40 books
ORL +7.5 (28 consensus books · 40 tracked)
Market Move
GSW -6.5 to -7.5 (1.0 pt toward GSW)
Lane CLV record
NBA spreads: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 3 Lost (5 measured)

Why is the ORL @ GSW spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward ORL across 41 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Best available partner price toward GSW -5.5: Caesars (-110).
  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward GSW across 13 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 1.8 pts toward GSW across 42 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

ORL
Vig-free consensus +7.5 -104 (51% across 28 books)
Best price: +7.5 -101 at ProphetX
GSW
Vig-free consensus -7.5 +104 (49% across 28 books)
Best price: -7.5 +100 at ProphetX

ORL @ GSW Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookORLGSWUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+7.5-118-7.5-102BetMGM
Caesars+7.5-115-7.5-105Caesars
DraftKings+7.5-117-7.5-104DraftKings
FanDuel+7.5-115-7.5-105FanDuel
Fanatics+7.5-115-7.5-105Fanatics
ProphetX+7.5-101-7.5+100ProphetX

Full market: 40 sportsbooks, consensus ORL +7.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ORL @ GSW Spread

The Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors spread opened at GSW -6.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at GSW -7.5 across 44 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward GSW. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 7:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 4:29 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 7:51 AM CT, 41 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward ORL by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors spread.

As of Sat, Nov 7, 1:18 PM CT, WagerBird Modeled Fair Value and vig-free consensus price GSW -5.5 at 54.7% vig-free probability, reflecting a +4.0% Fair Value Edge relative to current partner sportsbook quotes, with the best available partner price currently at Caesars (-110).

At Sat, Nov 7, 1:52 PM CT, 13 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward GSW by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors spread.

As of Sat, Nov 7, 3:30 PM CT, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.8% toward GSW across 42 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 1.8 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

Across the 40 sportsbooks currently quoting the Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 28-book consensus prices ORL at +7.5 -104 (51.0% vig-free probability) and GSW at -7.5 +104 (49.0% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: ORL +7.5 -101 at ProphetX; GSW -7.5 +100 at ProphetX.

In the NBA spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 0, and lost 3 season to date (5 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 3 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date203540.0%
Last 30 days203540.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/orlando-magic-at-golden-state-warriors-spread-2026-11-07-34195" title="Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/orlando-magic-at-golden-state-warriors-spread-2026-11-07-34195">ORL @ GSW Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>