Why is the DEN @ IND spread moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 40 books
- DEN -7.5 (21 consensus books · 40 tracked)
- Market Move
- IND +7 to +7.8 (0.8 pts toward DEN)
- Lane CLV record
- NBA spreads: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 3 Lost (5 measured)
Why is the DEN @ IND spread moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward DEN across 14 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
DEN @ IND Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | DEN | IND | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -7.5-118 | +7.5-102 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | -8-115 | +8-105 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | -7.5-118 | +7.5-102 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | -7.5-122 | +7.5+100 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | -8-115 | +8-105 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | -7.5-108 | +7.5+107 | ProphetX |
Full market: 40 sportsbooks, consensus DEN -7.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: DEN @ IND Spread
The Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers spread opened at IND +7 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at IND +7.8 across 42 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.8 pts, with net market movement toward DEN. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 4:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:26 PM CT.
At Sat, Nov 7, 11:52 AM CT, 14 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward DEN by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers spread.
Across the 40 sportsbooks currently quoting the Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 21-book consensus prices DEN at -7.5 -107 (51.6% vig-free probability) and IND at +7.5 +107 (48.4% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: DEN -7.5 -108 at ProphetX; IND +8 -105 at Caesars.
In the NBA spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 0, and lost 3 season to date (5 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NBA Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 3 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 40.0% |
| Last 30 days | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 40.0% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/denver-nuggets-at-indiana-pacers-spread-2026-11-07-34191" title="Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/denver-nuggets-at-indiana-pacers-spread-2026-11-07-34191">DEN @ IND Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>