Why is the MIA @ SAC 1st Quarter Total moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 18 books
- 61.5 (7 consensus books · 18 tracked)
- Market Move
- 62.5 to 61.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
- Lane CLV record
- NBA first-quarter game totals: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)
Why is the MIA @ SAC 1st Quarter Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MIA @ SAC 1st Quarter Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 60.5-125 | 60.5-105 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | 61-115 | 61-115 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | 61.5+100 | 61.5-120 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | 62.5-111 | 62.5-115 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | 61.5-110 | 61.5-120 | Fanatics |
Full market: 18 sportsbooks, consensus 61.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: MIA @ SAC 1st Quarter Total
The Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings first-quarter total opened at 62.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 61.5 across 18 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 8:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 8:27 AM CT.
At Sun, Nov 8, 8:01 AM CT, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings first-quarter total.
Across the 18 sportsbooks currently quoting the Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings first-quarter total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 7-book consensus prices Over at 61.5 +104 (49.0% vig-free probability) and Under at 61.5 -104 (51.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 60.5 -125 at BetMGM; Under 62.5 -115 at FanDuel.
WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every NBA first-quarter game totals release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.
NBA First-Quarter Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Last 30 days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings (1st Quarter Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/miami-heat-at-sacramento-kings-1q-total-2026-11-08-34340" title="Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings 1st Quarter Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/miami-heat-at-sacramento-kings-1q-total-2026-11-08-34340">MIA @ SAC 1st Quarter Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>