Domantas Sabonis (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Domantas Sabonis's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 15.5 to 13.5 (-2.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Domantas Sabonis)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC @ SAS | 15.5 (-107) | — | 20 | Over | |
| SAC @ NOP | 17.5 (-111) | +2.0 | 9 | Under | |
| SAC @ MEM | 15.5 (-120) | -2.0 | 11 | Under | |
| SAC @ DAL | 15.5 (+102) | 0.0 | 9 | Under | |
| LAL @ SAC | 13.5 (-110) | -2.0 | 16 | Over | |
| SAS @ SAC | 13.5 (-111) | 0.0 | 17 | Over |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Domantas Sabonis Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (-2.0) tracks actual window production (-1.8).
- Window Open Line
- 15.5
- Current Posted Line
- 13.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 13.7
- Actual Output Delta
- -1.8
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 · @ SAS | 15.5 | — | 20 | +4.5 |
| Oct 29 · @ NOP | 17.5 | +2.0 | 9 | -8.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ MEM | 15.5 | -2.0 | 11 | -4.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ DAL | 15.5 | 0.0 | 9 | -6.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs LAL | 13.5 | -2.0 | 16 | +2.5 |
| Nov 6 · vs SAS | 13.5 | 0.0 | 17 | +3.5 |
Domantas Sabonis Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Domantas Sabonis.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Domantas Sabonis.
Domantas Sabonis WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |