NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: SACPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 6 games)

Zach LaVine (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Zach LaVine Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sun, Oct 25, 8:00 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 10:55 AM CT

NBA Player Props CLV Counts

73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Zach LaVine's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 20.5 to 19.5 (-1.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Zach LaVine)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 27	SAC @ SAS	20.5 (-113)	—	22	Over
Oct 29	SAC @ NOP	21.5 (-104)	+1.0	21	Under
Oct 31	SAC @ MEM	21.5 (-110)	0.0	11	Under
Nov 2	SAC @ DAL	21.5 (-108)	0.0	23	Over
Nov 4	LAL @ SAC	20.5 (-112)	-1.0	21	Over
Nov 6	SAS @ SAC	19.5 (-113)	-1.0	14	Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Zach LaVine Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (-1.0) tracks actual window production (-1.8).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.8Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0

Window Open Line: 20.5
Current Posted Line: 19.5
Book Cumulative Step: -1.0
Actual Window Avg: 18.7
Actual Output Delta: -1.8
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 27 · @ SAS	20.5	—	22	+1.5
Oct 29 · @ NOP	21.5	+1.0	21	-0.5
Oct 31 · @ MEM	21.5	0.0	11	-10.5
Nov 2 · @ DAL	21.5	0.0	23	+1.5
Nov 4 · vs LAL	20.5	-1.0	21	+0.5
Nov 6 · vs SAS	19.5	-1.0	14	-5.5

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Zach LaVine Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 active Zach LaVine prop write-up tracked awaiting closing line settlement.

Zach LaVine CLV Counts

0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

0 Settled CLV Receipts

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release Quote	Closing Line	Actual	CLV Grade	Write-Up
Oct 25	MEM @ SAC	Points	Over 20.5 (-111) · DraftKings	20.5	37	—	Read Write-Up →

Archived Settled Zach LaVine Prop Write-Ups

Oct 25 CT · MEM @ SAC · PointsFull Write-Up →

LaVine's shot volume and access to the foul line can support the scoring target even after his opening production is regressed.

Counter-Case: Sacramento's other creators could take a larger share of the shots while Memphis makes LaVine work through contested attempts. Fewer free throws or a slower opening half would put additional pressure on his late-game scoring.

Zach LaVine WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release	Close	Actual	CLV Grade
Oct 25	MEM @ SAC	Points	Over 20.5	20.5	37	—

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	73	11	36
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	73	11	36