Keegan Murray (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 3 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 3 active games (Oct 21 to Oct 25), sportsbooks adjusted Keegan Murray's posted points line downward in 1 of 2 game-over-game steps from 12.5 to 11.5 (-1.0).
3-Game Posted Points Ledger (Keegan Murray)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC @ LAC | 12.5 (-102) | — | 2 | Under | |
| POR @ SAC | 11.5 (-111) | -1.0 | 12 | Over | |
| MEM @ SAC | 11.5 (-115) | 0.0 | — | — |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Keegan Murray Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted -1.0 vs. -5.5 actual output delta (-4.5 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 12.5
- Current Posted Line
- 11.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 7.0
- Actual Output Delta
- -5.5
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 · @ LAC | 12.5 | — | 2 | -10.5 |
| Oct 23 · vs POR | 11.5 | -1.0 | 12 | +0.5 |
| Oct 25 · vs MEM | 11.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
Keegan Murray Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Keegan Murray.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Keegan Murray.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |