NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: SACPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 3 games)

Keegan Murray (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 3 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 3 active games (Oct 21 to Oct 25), sportsbooks adjusted Keegan Murray's posted points line downward in 1 of 2 game-over-game steps from 12.5 to 11.5 (-1.0).13.512.912.311.711.110.512.511.511.5Oct 21SAC @ LACOct 23POR @ SACOct 25MEM @ SAC

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 3 active games (Oct 21 to Oct 25), sportsbooks adjusted Keegan Murray's posted points line downward in 1 of 2 game-over-game steps from 12.5 to 11.5 (-1.0).

3-Game Posted Points Ledger (Keegan Murray)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
SAC @ LAC12.5 (-102)—2Under
POR @ SAC11.5 (-111)-1.012Over
MEM @ SAC11.5 (-115)0.0——

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production3-Game Window

Keegan Murray Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted -1.0 vs. -5.5 actual output delta (-4.5 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-4.5Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0
Window Open Line
12.5
Current Posted Line
11.5
Book Cumulative Step
-1.0
Actual Window Avg
7.0
Actual Output Delta
-5.5
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Keegan Murray Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 3-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output1602Oct 21@ LAC12Oct 23vs POROct 25vs MEM
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 21 · @ LAC12.5—2-10.5
Oct 23 · vs POR11.5-1.012+0.5
Oct 25 · vs MEM11.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Keegan Murray Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Keegan Murray.

Keegan Murray CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Keegan Murray.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136