Ziaire Williams · Points
- Posted Line
- Locked (8.5)
- Fair Line
- —
- Book
- Fanatics (-109)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
Los Angeles Lakers @ Milwaukee Bucks Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 106.5 -103 / Under 106.5 +103 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (16 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:29 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 106.5 -110 at BetMGM; Under 107.5 -118 at FanDuel.
Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET), the line moved from 109.5 to 106.5 toward Under (3.0 pts) across 16 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET).
Los Angeles Lakers @ Milwaukee Bucks Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 106.5 -103 / Under 106.5 +103 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (16 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:29 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 106.5 -110 at BetMGM; Under 107.5 -118 at FanDuel.
Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET), the line moved from 109.5 to 106.5 toward Under (3.0 pts) across 16 sportsbooks.
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET).
Full market: 16 sportsbooks, consensus 106.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
The Los Angeles Lakers at Milwaukee Bucks Milwaukee Bucks team total opened at 109.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET) and currently sits at 106.5 across 16 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 3.0 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:29 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 1:02 AM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Los Angeles Lakers at Milwaukee Bucks Milwaukee Bucks team total.
At Wed, Nov 11, 7:36 AM ET, 11 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 2.0 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Los Angeles Lakers at Milwaukee Bucks Milwaukee Bucks team total.
As of Wed, Nov 11, 9:18 AM ET, vig-free implied probability has shifted +6.3% toward Under across 12 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 1.8 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.
As of Wed, Nov 11, 10:59 AM ET, WAGERBIRD Fair Line and vig-free consensus price Over at 106.5 across 5 tracked sportsbooks, while the best available partner quote stands at DraftKings (-112).
Across the 16 sportsbooks currently quoting the Los Angeles Lakers at Milwaukee Bucks Milwaukee Bucks team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 9-book consensus prices Over at 106.5 -103 (50.7% vig-free probability) and Under at 106.5 +103 (49.3% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 106.5 -110 at BetMGM; Under 107.5 -118 at FanDuel.
In the NBA team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 12 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 3 (16 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 80.0% of moved lines ahead of close (12 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Oct 21–Nov 8
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 80% finished ahead of the close.
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Los Angeles Lakers at Milwaukee Bucks (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/los-angeles-lakers-at-milwaukee-bucks-home-team-total-2026-11-11-34777" title="Los Angeles Lakers at Milwaukee Bucks Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/los-angeles-lakers-at-milwaukee-bucks-home-team-total-2026-11-11-34777">LAL @ MIL Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Los Angeles Lakers's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
-11.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 110.9 vs. 122.5 Posted Team Total)
-11.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 110.9 vs. 122.5 Posted Team Total)
-15.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 90.8 vs. 106.5 Posted Team Total)
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Milwaukee Bucks's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
-15.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 90.8 vs. 106.5 Posted Team Total)
| 22.5 |
| 19.5% |
| 18.4%(-1.1% vs Hist) |
| -1.0 |
| Usage Transfer |
#3 Walker Kessler LAL · Prev 14.5 (-1.0) | 13.5 | 11.9% | 11.0%(-0.9% vs Hist) | +1.0 | Team Tide Shift |
#4 Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL · Prev 9.5 (-1.0) | 8.5 | 7.9% | 6.9%(-1.0% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Team Tide Shift |
#5 Ziaire Williams LAL · Prev 10.5 (-2.0) | 8.5 | 8.4% | 6.9%(-1.5% vs Hist) | 0.0 | Team Tide Shift |