NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: MILPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-3.0 over 6 games)

Kel'el Ware (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
91 Beat · 12 Tied · 41 Lost
Next up
MIL @ NYK · Nov 10, 6:30 PM CT →

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 8), sportsbooks adjusted Kel'el Ware's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 10.5 to 7.5 (-3.0).11.510.59.58.57.56.510.59.59.59.59.57.5Oct 28HOU @ MILOct 31CLE @ MILNov 2MIL @ MINNov 4MIL @ BOSNov 6TOR @ MILNov 8BOS @ MIL

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 8), sportsbooks adjusted Kel'el Ware's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 10.5 to 7.5 (-3.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Kel'el Ware)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
HOU @ MIL10.5 (+100)—6Under
CLE @ MIL9.5 (-115)-1.019Over
MIL @ MIN9.5 (-104)0.02Under
MIL @ BOS9.5 (+104)0.02Under
TOR @ MIL9.5 (-105)0.04Under
BOS @ MIL7.5 (+100)-2.00Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production6-Game Window

Kel'el Ware Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted -3.0 vs. -5.0 actual output delta (-2.0 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-2.0Max Single-Game Book Step: -2.0
Window Open Line
10.5
Current Posted Line
7.5
Book Cumulative Step
-3.0
Actual Window Avg
5.5
Actual Output Delta
-5.0
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Kel'el Ware Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output2406Oct 28vs HOU19Oct 31vs CLE2Nov 2@ MIN2Nov 4@ BOS4Nov 6vs TOR0Nov 8vs BOS
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 28 · vs HOU10.5—6-4.5
Oct 31 · vs CLE9.5-1.019+9.5
Nov 2 · @ MIN9.50.02-7.5
Nov 4 · @ BOS9.50.02-7.5
Nov 6 · vs TOR9.50.04-5.5
Nov 8 · vs BOS7.5-2.00-7.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Kel'el Ware Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Kel'el Ware.

Kel'el Ware CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Kel'el Ware.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (91 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)911241
Last 30 days (from Oct 11 CT)911241