Ryan Rollins (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Ryan Rollins's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 14.5 to 11.5 (-3.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Ryan Rollins)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND @ MIL | 14.5 (-120) | — | 19 | Over | |
| HOU @ MIL | 13.5 (-122) | -1.0 | 4 | Under | |
| CLE @ MIL | 14.5 (-113) | +1.0 | 9 | Under | |
| MIL @ MIN | 13.5 (+140) | -1.0 | 10 | Under | |
| MIL @ BOS | 10.5 (+100) | -3.0 | 13 | Over | |
| TOR @ MIL | 11.5 (-115) | +1.0 | 10 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Ryan Rollins Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (-3.0) tracks actual window production (-3.7).
- Window Open Line
- 14.5
- Current Posted Line
- 11.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -3.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 10.8
- Actual Output Delta
- -3.7
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 · vs IND | 14.5 | — | 19 | +4.5 |
| Oct 28 · vs HOU | 13.5 | -1.0 | 4 | -9.5 |
| Oct 31 · vs CLE | 14.5 | +1.0 | 9 | -5.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ MIN | 13.5 | -1.0 | 10 | -3.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ BOS | 10.5 | -3.0 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Nov 6 · vs TOR | 11.5 | +1.0 | 10 | -1.5 |
Ryan Rollins Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Ryan Rollins.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Ryan Rollins.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |