NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: MILPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-2.0 over 6 games)

Tyler Herro (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
Tyler Herro Releases: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Tyler Herro's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 22.5 to 20.5 (-2.0).23.522.521.520.519.518.522.520.521.520.519.520.5Oct 26IND @ MILOct 28HOU @ MILOct 31CLE @ MILNov 2MIL @ MINNov 4MIL @ BOSNov 6TOR @ MIL

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Tyler Herro's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 22.5 to 20.5 (-2.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Tyler Herro)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
IND @ MIL22.5 (-105)—23Over
HOU @ MIL20.5 (-125)-2.023Over
CLE @ MIL21.5 (-110)+1.015Under
MIL @ MIN20.5 (-111)-1.021Over
MIL @ BOS19.5 (-120)-1.025Over
TOR @ MIL20.5 (-115)+1.023Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Tyler Herro Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output -0.8 vs. -2.0 book step adjustment (+1.2 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+1.2Max Single-Game Book Step: -2.0
Window Open Line
22.5
Current Posted Line
20.5
Book Cumulative Step
-2.0
Actual Window Avg
21.7
Actual Output Delta
-0.8
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Tyler Herro Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output281323Oct 26vs IND23Oct 28vs HOU15Oct 31vs CLE21Nov 2@ MIN25Nov 4@ BOS23Nov 6vs TOR
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 26 · vs IND22.5—23+0.5
Oct 28 · vs HOU20.5-2.023+2.5
Oct 31 · vs CLE21.5+1.015-6.5
Nov 2 · @ MIN20.5-1.021+0.5
Nov 4 · @ BOS19.5-1.025+5.5
Nov 6 · vs TOR20.5+1.023+2.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Tyler Herro Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Tyler Herro.

Tyler Herro CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Tyler Herro.

Tyler Herro WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Nov 4MIL @ BOS3-Pointers MadeOver 2.52.54Lost

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136