NBA · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM CTMarket Move: PHX (+2.0% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the HOU @ PHX moneyline moving?

Name: Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns Moneyline: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-07T17:02:36.757Z

Prices as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:26 PM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sat, Nov 7, 11:02 AM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 2:38 PM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 57 books: HOU -224 (57 consensus books · 57 tracked)
Market Move: PHX 30.3% to 32.3% (2.0% implied probability toward PHX)
Lane CLV record: NBA moneylines: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost (3 measured)

Why is the HOU @ PHX moneyline moving?

Sat, Nov 7, 7:29 AM CTMarket consensus updated (2.5% implied probability) toward PHX across 46 tracked sportsbooks.

HOU

Vig-free consensus -224 (69.2% across 57 books)

Best price: -240 at ProphetX

PHX

Vig-free consensus +224 (30.8% across 57 books)

Best price: +235 at ProphetX

HOU @ PHX Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	HOU	PHX	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	-275	+225	Sat, Nov 7, 3:25 PM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	-267	+215	Sat, Nov 7, 3:25 PM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	-270	+221	Sat, Nov 7, 3:25 PM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	-245	+200	Sat, Nov 7, 3:24 PM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	-260	+210	Sat, Nov 7, 3:25 PM CT	Fanatics
ProphetX	-240	+235	Sat, Nov 7, 3:25 PM CT	ProphetX

Full market: 57 sportsbooks, consensus HOU -224. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: HOU @ PHX Moneyline

The Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns moneyline opened at 30.3% implied probability for PHX on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 32.3% implied probability for PHX across 57 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.0% implied probability, with net market movement toward PHX. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:26 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 7:29 AM CT, 46 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward PHX by a median of 2.5% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns moneyline.

Across the 57 sportsbooks currently quoting the Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 6.5% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 57-book consensus prices HOU at -224 (69.2% vig-free probability) and PHX at +224 (30.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: HOU -240 at ProphetX; PHX +235 at ProphetX.

In the NBA moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 0, and lost 1 season to date (3 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 1 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	2	0	1	3	66.7%
Last 30 days	2	0	1	3	66.7%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/houston-rockets-at-phoenix-suns-moneyline-2026-11-07-34196" title="Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/houston-rockets-at-phoenix-suns-moneyline-2026-11-07-34196">HOU @ PHX Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Usage TransferHOU @ PHX · Points

HOU @ PHX · Houston Rockets WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 8:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Houston Rockets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

HOU Rotation Mode: Usage TransferUsage Transfer: 1 Core Scorer Up vs. 2 DownInternal Rotation Usage Transfer: Scoring Share Redistributing Inside Core-6 Rotation

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-4.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 111.4 vs. 115.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
92.0	82.6%	111.4	115.5 (+100)	-4.1

Compare HOU Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 114.5 (O -115)DraftKings 115.5 (O -110)BetMGM 115.5 (O -110)Caesars 115.5 (O -110)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Kevin Durant HOU · Prev 22.5 (-1.0)	21.5	16.2%	18.6%(+2.4% vs Hist)	-4.0		Usage Transfer
#2 Alperen Sengun HOU · Prev 19.5 (+1.0)

Houston Rockets (HOU)Usage Transfer

-4.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 111.4 vs. 115.5 Posted Team Total)

Phoenix Suns (PHX)Team Tide Shift

-8.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 101.4 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Houston Rockets team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftHOU @ PHX · Points

HOU @ PHX · Phoenix Suns WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 7, 8:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Phoenix Suns's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

PHX Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 5 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-8.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 101.4 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · Verified CLV: 73 Beat / 11 Tied / 36 LostThrough Nov 6 CT

Released Player Props & CLV Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

HOU @ PHX · PHX · ReboundsFree Dossier Release

Devin Booker · Rebounds

Pick & Line: Under 3.5
Fair Value: 2.5 (-298)
Book: ProphetX (-160)

Booker's heavy minutes have not translated into a large rebounding role.

Prop Dossier →Player History

ProphetX: Under 3.5 (-160)Kalshi · WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Devin Booker PHX · Prev 24.5 (0.0)	24.5	24.2%	22.4%(-1.8% vs Hist)	+2.0	Steady Share
#2 Miles Bridges PHX · Prev 16.5 (-1.0)	15.5	17.8%	14.2%(-3.6% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 Dillon Brooks PHX · Prev 16.5 (-1.0)	15.5	17.7%	14.2%(-3.5% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Jalen Green PHX · Prev 16.5 (-1.0)	15.5	11.4%	14.2%(+2.8% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 Collin Gillespie PHX · Prev 9.5 (-1.0)	8.5	7.3%	7.8%(+0.5% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift

Why is the HOU @ PHX moneyline moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

HOU @ PHX Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: HOU @ PHX Moneyline

NBA Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 1 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

HOU @ PHX · Houston Rockets WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

HOU @ PHX · Phoenix Suns WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 7, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & CLV Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

Devin Booker · Rebounds

HOU @ PHX · Houston Rockets WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

HOU @ PHX · Phoenix Suns WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 7, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & CLV Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

Devin Booker · Rebounds