Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
| Sportsbook | BOS | MIL | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|
Full market: 0 sportsbooks, consensus -. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
MIL moneyline opened +205 and closed +220 (median of tracked sportsbooks).
WagerBird released no 1st Quarter Moneyline pick on this game (- No Pick).
CLV is graded against the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released.
| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Last 30 days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/boston-celtics-at-milwaukee-bucks-1q-moneyline-2026-11-08-34339" title="Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/boston-celtics-at-milwaukee-bucks-1q-moneyline-2026-11-08-34339">BOS @ MIL 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Boston Celtics's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
-19.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 98.8 vs. 118.5 Posted Team Total)
| Core-6 Sum | Core-6 Share | Implied Total | Posted Total | Reconciliation Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80.5 | 81.5% | 98.8 | 118.5 (+100) | -19.7 |
| Core-6 Player | Tonight Line | Team Scoring Share % | Tonight's Implied Prop Share % | 6-Game Line Drift | 6G Trend | Outcome Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 Jayson Tatum BOS · Prev 26.5 (0.0) | 26.5 | 29.0% | 22.4%(-6.6% vs Hist) | -2.0 | Steady Share | |
#2 Paul George BOS · Prev 17.5 (0.0) |
-19.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 98.8 vs. 118.5 Posted Team Total)
-15.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 87.8 vs. 103.5 Posted Team Total)
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Milwaukee Bucks's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
-15.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 87.8 vs. 103.5 Posted Team Total)
| 17.5 |
| 17.4% |
| 14.8%(-2.6% vs Hist) |
| -3.0 |
| Steady Share |
#3 Derrick White BOS · Prev 13.5 (0.0) | 13.5 | 14.4% | 11.4%(-3.0% vs Hist) | -2.0 | Steady Share |
#4 Payton Pritchard BOS · Prev 13.5 (0.0) | 13.5 | 11.2% | 11.4%(+0.2% vs Hist) | -2.0 | Steady Share |
#5 Neemias Queta BOS · Prev 9.5 (0.0) | 9.5 | 9.5% | 8.0%(-1.5% vs Hist) | +1.0 | Steady Share |
| Core-6 Sum | Core-6 Share | Implied Total | Posted Total | Reconciliation Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.0 | 83.1% | 87.8 | 103.5 (-115) | -15.7 |
| Core-6 Player | Tonight Line | Team Scoring Share % | Tonight's Implied Prop Share % | 6-Game Line Drift | 6G Trend | Outcome Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 Tyler Herro MIL · Prev 20.5 (-1.0) | 19.5 | 24.1% | 18.8%(-5.3% vs Hist) | -1.0 | Team Tide Shift | |
#2 Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL · Prev 14.5 (-1.0) | 13.5 | 15.9% | 13.0%(-2.9% vs Hist) | -1.0 | Team Tide Shift | |
#3 Brayden Burries MIL · Prev 10.5 (+1.0) | 11.5 | 12.4% | 11.1%(-1.3% vs Hist) | +4.0 | Usage Transfer | |
#4 Myles Turner MIL · Prev 10.5 (-1.0) | 9.5 | 8.3% | 9.2%(+0.9% vs Hist) | -1.0 | Team Tide Shift | |
#5 Kyle Kuzma MIL · Prev 10.5 (-1.0) | 9.5 | 10.4% | 9.2%(-1.2% vs Hist) | -2.0 | Team Tide Shift | |
#6 Ryan Rollins MIL · Prev 11.5 (-2.0) | 9.5 | 12.0% | 9.2%(-2.8% vs Hist) | -4.0 | Team Tide Shift |
Tatum’s season assist average and recent nine-assist outing support another high-creation game.
White’s 5.1-assist season average and recent five-assist performance support the projection.
Herro’s strong scoring baseline and reliable five-rebound average give the combined total two productive routes.
Jaquez’s season scoring average and steady rotation minutes support a projection above his recent scoring threshold.