Paul George (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Paul George's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 18.5 to 17.5 (-1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Paul George)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKN @ BOS | 18.5 (-102) | — | 20 | Over | |
| CHI @ BOS | 20.5 (-105) | +2.0 | 18 | Under | |
| BOS @ ORL | 18.5 (-102) | -2.0 | 17 | Under | |
| BOS @ HOU | 17.5 (-106) | -1.0 | — | — | |
| MIL @ BOS | 21.5 (-104) | +4.0 | 25 | Over | |
| BOS @ CHA | 17.5 (-113) | -4.0 | 8 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Paul George Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (-1.0) tracks actual window production (-0.9).
- Window Open Line
- 18.5
- Current Posted Line
- 17.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 17.6
- Actual Output Delta
- -0.9
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 · vs BKN | 18.5 | — | 20 | +1.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs CHI | 20.5 | +2.0 | 18 | -2.5 |
| Nov 1 · @ ORL | 18.5 | -2.0 | 17 | -1.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ HOU | 17.5 | -1.0 | — | — |
| Nov 4 · vs MIL | 21.5 | +4.0 | 25 | +3.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ CHA | 17.5 | -4.0 | 8 | -9.5 |
Paul George Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Paul George.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Paul George.
Paul George WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | BOS @ CHA | Assists | Over 3.5 | 3.5 | 1 | Lost |
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |