NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: BOSPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Up (+1.0 over 6 games)

Jayson Tatum (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
Jayson Tatum Releases: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Jayson Tatum's posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 25.5 to 26.5 (+1.0).29.528.527.526.525.524.525.528.526.527.527.526.5Oct 27BKN @ BOSOct 30CHI @ BOSNov 1BOS @ ORLNov 2BOS @ HOUNov 4MIL @ BOSNov 6BOS @ CHA

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Jayson Tatum's posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 25.5 to 26.5 (+1.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Jayson Tatum)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
BKN @ BOS25.5 (-115)—40Over
CHI @ BOS28.5 (-105)+3.026Under
BOS @ ORL26.5 (-115)-2.032Over
BOS @ HOU27.5 (+100)+1.019Under
MIL @ BOS27.5 (-106)0.0——
BOS @ CHA26.5 (-115)-1.034Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Jayson Tatum Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +4.7 vs. +1.0 book step adjustment (+3.7 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+3.7Max Single-Game Book Step: +3.0
Window Open Line
25.5
Current Posted Line
26.5
Book Cumulative Step
+1.0
Actual Window Avg
30.2
Actual Output Delta
+4.7
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Jayson Tatum Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output461440Oct 27vs BKN26Oct 30vs CHI32Nov 1@ ORL19Nov 2@ HOUNov 4vs MIL34Nov 6@ CHA
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 27 · vs BKN25.5—40+14.5
Oct 30 · vs CHI28.5+3.026-2.5
Nov 1 · @ ORL26.5-2.032+5.5
Nov 2 · @ HOU27.5+1.019-8.5
Nov 4 · vs MIL27.50.0——
Nov 6 · @ CHA26.5-1.034+7.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Jayson Tatum Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Jayson Tatum.

Jayson Tatum CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Jayson Tatum.

Jayson Tatum WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Nov 1BOS @ ORLReboundsUnder 8.58.54Beat
Oct 26CHI @ BOS3-Pointers MadeUnder 3.53.52Beat
Oct 20BOS @ DETReboundsOver 8.58.54Lost

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136