San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 42 books
- SJST +435 (42 consensus books · 42 tracked)
- Market Move
- AF 82.8% to 85.2% (2.4% implied probability toward AF)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 19 · At close: 5 · Behind: 19 (43 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- SJST 18.7% · AF 81.3%
- Consensus Spread
- AF -13.5
- Consensus Total
- 48.5
- Market-Implied Score
- SJST 17.5 – AF 31
Market Brief: SJST @ AF Moneyline
San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at SJST +435 / AF -435 across 42 consensus sportsbooks (42 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: SJST +460 at ProphetX; AF -490 at ProphetX.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 82.8% to 85.2% toward AF (2.4% implied probability) across 46 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).
What is the SJST @ AF moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at SJST +435 / AF -435 across 42 consensus sportsbooks (42 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: SJST +460 at ProphetX; AF -490 at ProphetX.
How has the SJST @ AF moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 82.8% to 85.2% toward AF (2.4% implied probability) across 46 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for SJST @ AF moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).
Why is the SJST @ AF moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.2% implied probability) toward AF across 22 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
SJST @ AF Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 42 sportsbooks, consensus SJST +435. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: SJST @ AF Moneyline
The San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons moneyline opened at 82.8% implied probability for AF on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 85.2% implied probability for AF across 46 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward AF. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET.
At Fri, Nov 13, 8:14 PM ET, 22 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward AF by a median of 2.2% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons moneyline.
Across the 42 sportsbooks currently quoting the San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 6.4% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 42-book consensus prices SJST at +435 (18.7% vig-free probability) and AF at -435 (81.3% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: SJST +460 at ProphetX; AF -490 at ProphetX.
In the CFB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 19 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 19 (43 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 48.7% of moved lines ahead of close (19 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 20 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 13
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/san-jose-state-spartans-at-air-force-falcons-moneyline-2026-11-14-27522" title="San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/san-jose-state-spartans-at-air-force-falcons-moneyline-2026-11-14-27522">SJST @ AF Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>