San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons 1st Half Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 15 books
- SJST +291 (15 consensus books · 15 tracked)
- Market Move
- AF 78.3% to 78.7% (0.5% implied probability toward AF)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 1 · At close: 1 · Behind: 0 (2 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- SJST 20.5% · AF 79.5%
- Consensus Spread
- AF -12
- Consensus Total
- 47.5
- Market-Implied Score
- SJST 17.8 – AF 29.8
Market Brief: SJST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline
San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons 1st Half Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at SJST +291 / AF -291 across 15 consensus sportsbooks (15 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 12:18 AM ET). Best price per side: SJST +295 at DraftKings; AF -350 at BetMGM.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 78.3% to 78.7% toward AF (0.5% implied probability) across 15 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).
What is the SJST @ AF 1st half moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons 1st Half Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at SJST +291 / AF -291 across 15 consensus sportsbooks (15 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 12:18 AM ET). Best price per side: SJST +295 at DraftKings; AF -350 at BetMGM.
How has the SJST @ AF 1st half moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 78.3% to 78.7% toward AF (0.5% implied probability) across 15 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for SJST @ AF 1st half moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).
Why is the SJST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.2% implied probability) toward AF across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
SJST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 15 sportsbooks, consensus SJST +291. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: SJST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline
The San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons first-half moneyline opened at 78.3% implied probability for AF on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 78.7% implied probability for AF across 15 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5% implied probability, with net market movement toward AF. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 12:18 AM ET.
At Thu, Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward AF by a median of 2.2% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons first-half moneyline.
Across the 15 sportsbooks currently quoting the San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons first-half moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.1% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 15-book consensus prices SJST at +291 (25.6% vig-free probability) and AF at -291 (74.4% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: SJST +295 at DraftKings; AF -350 at BetMGM.
In the CFB first-half moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 1 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 0 (2 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB First-Half Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 100.0% of moved lines ahead of close (1 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 0 Behind close) · Sept 25–Oct 3
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 100% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons (1st Half Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/san-jose-state-spartans-at-air-force-falcons-1h-moneyline-2026-11-14-27522" title="San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/san-jose-state-spartans-at-air-force-falcons-1h-moneyline-2026-11-14-27522">SJST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>