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CFB · 1st Half MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: AF (+0.5% implied prob)

San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons 1st Half Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 15 books
SJST +291 (15 consensus books · 15 tracked)
Market Move
AF 78.3% to 78.7% (0.5% implied probability toward AF)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 1 · At close: 1 · Behind: 0 (2 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
SJST 20.5% · AF 79.5%
Consensus Spread
AF -12
Consensus Total
47.5
Market-Implied Score
SJST 17.8 – AF 29.8

Market Brief: SJST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline

San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons 1st Half Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at SJST +291 / AF -291 across 15 consensus sportsbooks (15 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 12:18 AM ET). Best price per side: SJST +295 at DraftKings; AF -350 at BetMGM.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 78.3% to 78.7% toward AF (0.5% implied probability) across 15 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).

What is the SJST @ AF 1st half moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons 1st Half Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at SJST +291 / AF -291 across 15 consensus sportsbooks (15 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 12:18 AM ET). Best price per side: SJST +295 at DraftKings; AF -350 at BetMGM.

How has the SJST @ AF 1st half moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 78.3% to 78.7% toward AF (0.5% implied probability) across 15 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for SJST @ AF 1st half moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).

Why is the SJST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.2% implied probability) toward AF across 4 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

SJST
Vig-free consensus +291 (25.6% across 15 books)
Best price: +295 at DraftKings
AF
Vig-free consensus -291 (74.4% across 15 books)
Best price: -350 at BetMGM

SJST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookSJSTAFExecution
BetMGM+280-350BetMGM
Caesars+275-360Caesars
DraftKings+295-375DraftKings
FanDuel+280-380FanDuel
Fanatics+250-350Fanatics
ProphetX+260-415ProphetX

Full market: 15 sportsbooks, consensus SJST +291. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: SJST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline

The San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons first-half moneyline opened at 78.3% implied probability for AF on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 78.7% implied probability for AF across 15 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5% implied probability, with net market movement toward AF. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 12:18 AM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward AF by a median of 2.2% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons first-half moneyline.

Across the 15 sportsbooks currently quoting the San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons first-half moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.1% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 15-book consensus prices SJST at +291 (25.6% vig-free probability) and AF at -291 (74.4% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: SJST +295 at DraftKings; AF -350 at BetMGM.

In the CFB first-half moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 1 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 0 (2 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB First-Half Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 100.0% of moved lines ahead of close (1 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 0 Behind close) · Sept 25–Oct 3

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date1102
Last 30 days0000

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 100% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons (1st Half Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/san-jose-state-spartans-at-air-force-falcons-1h-moneyline-2026-11-14-27522" title="San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/san-jose-state-spartans-at-air-force-falcons-1h-moneyline-2026-11-14-27522">SJST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>