ENES
CFB · 1st Half SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: AF -6.5 → -7 (-0.5 pts)

San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons 1st Half Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 18 books
SJST +6.5 (7 consensus books · 18 tracked)
Market Move
AF -6.5 to -7 (0.5 pts toward AF)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 18 · At close: 5 · Behind: 9 (32 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
SJST 20.8% · AF 79.2%
Consensus Spread
AF -12
Consensus Total
47.5
Market-Implied Score
SJST 17.8 – AF 29.8

Market Brief: SJST @ AF 1st Half Spread

San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at SJST +6.5 +112 / AF -6.5 -112 across 7 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET). Best price per side: SJST +7.5 -140 at BetMGM; AF -6.5 -120 at FanDuel.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from AF -6.5 to AF -7 (0.5 pts) across 19 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).

What is the SJST @ AF 1st half spread consensus line and best price per side?

San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at SJST +6.5 +112 / AF -6.5 -112 across 7 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET). Best price per side: SJST +7.5 -140 at BetMGM; AF -6.5 -120 at FanDuel.

How has the SJST @ AF 1st half spread moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from AF -6.5 to AF -7 (0.5 pts) across 19 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for SJST @ AF 1st half spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).

Why is the SJST @ AF 1st Half Spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward AF across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

SJST
Vig-free consensus +6.5 +112 (47.2% across 7 books)
Best price: +7.5 -140 at BetMGM
AF
Vig-free consensus -6.5 -112 (52.8% across 7 books)
Best price: -6.5 -120 at FanDuel

SJST @ AF 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookSJSTAFExecution
BetMGM+7.5-140-7.5+105BetMGM
Caesars+7-113-7-109Caesars
DraftKings+7-110-7-110DraftKings
FanDuel+6.5-102-6.5-120FanDuel
Fanatics+6.5+105-6.5-140Fanatics

Full market: 18 sportsbooks, consensus SJST +6.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: SJST @ AF 1st Half Spread

The San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons first-half spread opened at AF -6.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at AF -7 across 19 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward AF. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 1:18 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward AF by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons first-half spread.

Across the 18 sportsbooks currently quoting the San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 7-book consensus prices SJST at +6.5 +112 (47.2% vig-free probability) and AF at -6.5 -112 (52.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: SJST +7.5 -140 at BetMGM; AF -6.5 -120 at FanDuel.

In the CFB first-half spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 18 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 9 (32 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB First-Half Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 66.7% of moved lines ahead of close (18 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 9 Behind close) · Sept 25–Oct 31

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date185932
Last 30 days7029

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 67% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons (1st Half Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/san-jose-state-spartans-at-air-force-falcons-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27522" title="San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/san-jose-state-spartans-at-air-force-falcons-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27522">SJST @ AF 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>