ENES
CFB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: AF -12 → -13.5 (-1.5 pts)

San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 34 books
SJST +13.5 (26 consensus books · 34 tracked)
Market Move
AF -12 to -13.5 (1.5 pts toward AF)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 86 · At close: 11 · Behind: 55 (152 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
SJST 18.7% · AF 81.3%
Consensus Spread
AF -13.5
Consensus Total
48.5
Market-Implied Score
SJST 17.5 – AF 31

Market Brief: SJST @ AF Spread

San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons Spread: vig-free consensus stands at SJST +13.5 +101 / AF -13.5 -101 across 26 consensus sportsbooks (34 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: SJST +13.5 +102 at ProphetX; AF -13.5 -105 at ProphetX.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from AF -12 to AF -13.5 (1.5 pts) across 38 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).

What is the SJST @ AF spread consensus line and best price per side?

San Jose State Spartans @ Air Force Falcons Spread: vig-free consensus stands at SJST +13.5 +101 / AF -13.5 -101 across 26 consensus sportsbooks (34 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: SJST +13.5 +102 at ProphetX; AF -13.5 -105 at ProphetX.

How has the SJST @ AF spread moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from AF -12 to AF -13.5 (1.5 pts) across 38 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for SJST @ AF spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).

Why is the SJST @ AF spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward AF across 11 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market consensus moved from SJST +14 to SJST +13.5 across 9 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

SJST
Vig-free consensus +13.5 +101 (49.7% across 26 books)
Best price: +13.5 +102 at ProphetX
AF
Vig-free consensus -13.5 -101 (50.3% across 26 books)
Best price: -13.5 -105 at ProphetX

SJST @ AF Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookSJSTAFExecution
BetMGM+13.5-108-13.5-110BetMGM
Caesars+13.5-112-13.5-109Caesars
DraftKings+13.5-110-13.5-110DraftKings
FanDuel+13.5-110-13.5-110FanDuel
Fanatics+13.5-110-13.5-110Fanatics
ProphetX+13.5+102-13.5-105ProphetX

Full market: 34 sportsbooks, consensus SJST +13.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: SJST @ AF Spread

The San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons spread opened at AF -12 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at AF -13.5 across 38 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.5 pts, with net market movement toward AF. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET, 11 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward AF by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons spread.

At Fri, Nov 13, 10:00 PM ET, the market consensus moved through 14, shifting from SJST +14 to SJST +13.5 toward SJST. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 14 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.

Across the 34 sportsbooks currently quoting the San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 8.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 26-book consensus prices SJST at +13.5 +101 (49.7% vig-free probability) and AF at -13.5 -101 (50.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: SJST +13.5 +102 at ProphetX; AF -13.5 -105 at ProphetX.

In the CFB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 86 · At the close: 11 · Behind close: 55 (152 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 61.0% of moved lines ahead of close (86 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 55 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 12

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date861155152
Last 30 days5743394

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 61% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/san-jose-state-spartans-at-air-force-falcons-spread-2026-11-14-27522" title="San Jose State Spartans at Air Force Falcons Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/san-jose-state-spartans-at-air-force-falcons-spread-2026-11-14-27522">SJST @ AF Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>